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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Kansas City, MO · ZIP 64138 · Census Tract 29095017400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$265K
Downside (P10)
$234K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$295K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$375K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $77K | $80K | $82K | $85K | $90K | $108K | $108K | $136K | $168K | $249K | $265K | $273K | $286K | $295K |
| YoY Change | +4.0% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +6.7% | +20.0% | +0.0% | +25.7% | +23.2% | +48.2% | +6.5% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $226K | $221K | $234K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $334K | $373K | $375K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$226K to $334K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$234K to $375K
47.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | $254K | $295K | +16.1% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 009900) | $267K | $297K | +11.2% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 016802) | $261K | $287K | +9.9% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 013418) | $267K | $293K | +9.7% | |
| Lee's Summit | $269K | $292K | +8.7% | |
| Sni-A-Bar | $266K | $285K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | $254K | $295K | +16.1% | |
| Independence | $113K | $134K | +19.0% | |
| Lee's Summit area | $543K | $642K | +18.2% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 004400) | $365K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 012903) | $157K | $184K | +17.3% | |
| Lee's Summit | $322K | $377K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | $254K | $295K | $141K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002100) | $67K | $73K | $32K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K | |
| Independence | $58K | $63K | $30K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 016500) | $65K | $68K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.