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Kansas City, MO · ZIP 64133 · Census Tract 29095012501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$141K
Downside (P10)
$113K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$148K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$198K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $92K | $94K | $91K | $92K | $94K | $93K | $97K | $120K | $123K | $135K | $141K | $142K | $145K | $148K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,932 | -$47,132 | -$49,932 | -$49,532 | -$47,332 | -$47,632 | -$43,932 | -$20,632 | -$17,632 | -$5,732 | +$1,239 | +$3,842 | +$6,792 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.7% | -33.4% | -35.4% | -35.1% | -33.6% | -33.8% | -31.2% | -14.6% | -12.5% | -4.1% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $121K | $119K | $113K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $170K | $183K | $198K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$121K to $170K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$113K to $198K
56.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytown | $138K | $148K | +7.3% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 013208) | $147K | $165K | +12.6% | |
| Independence (Tract 011200) | $144K | $159K | +11.0% | |
| Sugar Creek | $139K | $148K | +6.3% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 013003) | $138K | $144K | +4.5% | |
| Independence (Tract 011900) | $144K | $150K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytown | $138K | $148K | +7.3% | |
| Independence | $113K | $134K | +19.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 004400) | $365K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 012903) | $157K | $184K | +17.3% | |
| Lee's Summit | $322K | $377K | +17.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 006900) | $278K | $323K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytown | $138K | $148K | $84K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002200) | $60K | $65K | $40K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 003400) | $54K | $57K | $36K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002100) | $67K | $73K | $32K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Kansas City, MO · ZIP 64133 · Census Tract 29095012501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$141K
Downside (P10)
$113K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$148K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$198K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $92K | $94K | $91K | $92K | $94K | $93K | $97K | $120K | $123K | $135K | $141K | $142K | $145K | $148K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,932 | -$47,132 | -$49,932 | -$49,532 | -$47,332 | -$47,632 | -$43,932 | -$20,632 | -$17,632 | -$5,732 | +$1,239 | +$3,842 | +$6,792 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.7% | -33.4% | -35.4% | -35.1% | -33.6% | -33.8% | -31.2% | -14.6% | -12.5% | -4.1% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $121K | $119K | $113K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $170K | $183K | $198K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$121K to $170K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$113K to $198K
56.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytown | $138K | $148K | +7.3% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 013208) | $147K | $165K | +12.6% | |
| Independence (Tract 011200) | $144K | $159K | +11.0% | |
| Sugar Creek | $139K | $148K | +6.3% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 013003) | $138K | $144K | +4.5% | |
| Independence (Tract 011900) | $144K | $150K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytown | $138K | $148K | +7.3% | |
| Independence | $113K | $134K | +19.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 004400) | $365K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 012903) | $157K | $184K | +17.3% | |
| Lee's Summit | $322K | $377K | +17.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 006900) | $278K | $323K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raytown | $138K | $148K | $84K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002200) | $60K | $65K | $40K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 003400) | $54K | $57K | $36K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002100) | $67K | $73K | $32K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
