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Kansas City, MO · ZIP 64086 · Census Tract 29095013916 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$467K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$610K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $176K | $188K | $207K | $234K | $242K | $243K | $277K | $306K | $400K | $419K | $421K | $438K | $456K | $467K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$244,687 | -$233,387 | -$214,087 | -$186,787 | -$179,487 | -$177,787 | -$143,587 | -$114,587 | -$20,787 | -$1,987 | +$16,603 | +$35,465 | +$45,616 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.1% | -55.4% | -50.9% | -44.4% | -42.6% | -42.2% | -34.1% | -27.2% | -4.9% | -0.5% | +3.9% | +8.4% | +10.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $359K | $362K | $367K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $533K | $586K | $610K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$359K to $533K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$367K to $610K
52.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie · Lees Summit · (Tract 139.16) | $421K | $467K | +10.8% | |
| Lee's Summit | $396K | $439K | +11.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 013407) | $428K | $474K | +10.5% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 009200) | $395K | $436K | +10.3% | |
| Sni-A-Bar | $393K | $422K | +7.5% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 010105) | $414K | $445K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie · Lees Summit · (Tract 139.16) | $421K | $467K | +10.8% | |
| Independence | $113K | $134K | +19.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 004400) | $365K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 012903) | $157K | $184K | +17.3% | |
| Lee's Summit | $322K | $377K | +17.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 006900) | $278K | $323K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie · Lees Summit · (Tract 139.16) | $421K | $467K | $244K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002200) | $60K | $65K | $40K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 003400) | $54K | $57K | $36K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002100) | $67K | $73K | $32K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Kansas City, MO · ZIP 64086 · Census Tract 29095013916 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$467K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$610K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $176K | $188K | $207K | $234K | $242K | $243K | $277K | $306K | $400K | $419K | $421K | $438K | $456K | $467K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$244,687 | -$233,387 | -$214,087 | -$186,787 | -$179,487 | -$177,787 | -$143,587 | -$114,587 | -$20,787 | -$1,987 | +$16,603 | +$35,465 | +$45,616 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.1% | -55.4% | -50.9% | -44.4% | -42.6% | -42.2% | -34.1% | -27.2% | -4.9% | -0.5% | +3.9% | +8.4% | +10.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $359K | $362K | $367K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $533K | $586K | $610K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$359K to $533K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$367K to $610K
52.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie · Lees Summit · (Tract 139.16) | $421K | $467K | +10.8% | |
| Lee's Summit | $396K | $439K | +11.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 013407) | $428K | $474K | +10.5% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 009200) | $395K | $436K | +10.3% | |
| Sni-A-Bar | $393K | $422K | +7.5% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 010105) | $414K | $445K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie · Lees Summit · (Tract 139.16) | $421K | $467K | +10.8% | |
| Independence | $113K | $134K | +19.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 004400) | $365K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 012903) | $157K | $184K | +17.3% | |
| Lee's Summit | $322K | $377K | +17.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 006900) | $278K | $323K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie · Lees Summit · (Tract 139.16) | $421K | $467K | $244K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002200) | $60K | $65K | $40K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 003400) | $54K | $57K | $36K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002100) | $67K | $73K | $32K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
