Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Kansas City, MO · ZIP 64050 · Census Tract 29095011502 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$123K
Downside (P10)
$107K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$135K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$166K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $79K | $82K | $92K | $95K | $123K | $123K | $125K | $130K | $135K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | +12.4% | +3.3% | +30.0% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $112K | $112K | $107K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $148K | $152K | $166K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$112K to $148K
28.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$107K to $166K
44.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence · 64050 · (Tract 115.2) | $123K | $135K | +9.4% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 000600) | $124K | $145K | +16.4% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 017000) | $118K | $137K | +16.0% | |
| Independence | $124K | $136K | +9.7% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 007802) | $125K | $134K | +7.4% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 009500) | $122K | $129K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence · 64050 · (Tract 115.2) | $123K | $135K | +9.4% | |
| Independence | $113K | $134K | +19.0% | |
| Lee's Summit area | $543K | $642K | +18.2% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 004400) | $365K | $429K | +17.7% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 012903) | $157K | $184K | +17.3% | |
| Lee's Summit | $322K | $377K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence · 64050 · (Tract 115.2) | $123K | $135K | $60K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002100) | $67K | $73K | $32K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K | |
| Independence | $58K | $63K | $30K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 016500) | $65K | $68K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.