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Johnson, MO · ZIP 65305 · Census Tract 29101980000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$346K
Downside (P10)
$297K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$377K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$572K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2016 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $329K | $346K | $350K | $363K | $377K | $338K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$259,330 | -$16,930 | +$4,322 | +$16,792 | +$30,853 | -$7,647 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -75.0% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +8.9% | -2.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $305K | $292K | $297K | $299K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $465K | $494K | $572K | $389K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$305K to $465K
45.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$299K to $389K
26.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteman AFB | $339K | $377K | +10.9% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960402) | $267K | $311K | +16.7% | |
| Warrensburg area | $285K | $314K | +10.4% | |
| Jackson | $314K | $342K | +8.8% | |
| Simpson area | $264K | $284K | +7.6% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960501) | $288K | $301K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteman AFB | $339K | $377K | +10.9% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960402) | $267K | $311K | +16.7% | |
| Washington | $216K | $250K | +15.5% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960502) | $202K | $233K | +15.3% | |
| Madison area | $223K | $249K | +11.9% | |
| Chilhowee area | $232K | $256K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteman AFB | $339K | $377K | $276K | |
| Simpson area | $264K | $284K | $114K | |
| Washington | $200K | $216K | $114K | |
| Centerview | $224K | $234K | $107K | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960502) | $202K | $233K | $102K | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960600) | $151K | $166K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Johnson, MO · ZIP 65305 · Census Tract 29101980000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$346K
Downside (P10)
$297K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$377K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$572K
+66% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +66%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2016 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $329K | $346K | $350K | $363K | $377K | $338K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$259,330 | -$16,930 | +$4,322 | +$16,792 | +$30,853 | -$7,647 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -75.0% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +8.9% | -2.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $305K | $292K | $297K | $299K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $465K | $494K | $572K | $389K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$305K to $465K
45.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$299K to $389K
26.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteman AFB | $339K | $377K | +10.9% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960402) | $267K | $311K | +16.7% | |
| Warrensburg area | $285K | $314K | +10.4% | |
| Jackson | $314K | $342K | +8.8% | |
| Simpson area | $264K | $284K | +7.6% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960501) | $288K | $301K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteman AFB | $339K | $377K | +10.9% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960402) | $267K | $311K | +16.7% | |
| Washington | $216K | $250K | +15.5% | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960502) | $202K | $233K | +15.3% | |
| Madison area | $223K | $249K | +11.9% | |
| Chilhowee area | $232K | $256K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whiteman AFB | $339K | $377K | $276K | |
| Simpson area | $264K | $284K | $114K | |
| Washington | $200K | $216K | $114K | |
| Centerview | $224K | $234K | $107K | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960502) | $202K | $233K | $102K | |
| Warrensburg (Tract 960600) | $151K | $166K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
