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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jasper, MO · ZIP 64801 · Census Tract 29097011202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$131K
Downside (P10)
$107K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$149K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$187K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $131K | $129K | $122K | $111K | $123K | $131K | $134K | $137K | $149K |
| YoY Change | -1.6% | -5.2% | -9.0% | +10.9% | +6.5% | +2.0% | +2.2% | +8.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $108K | $106K | $107K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $158K | $162K | $187K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$108K to $158K
37.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$107K to $187K
53.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galena · Joplin · (Tract 112.2) | $127K | $149K | +16.9% | |
| Marion | $111K | $121K | +9.5% | |
| Joplin (Tract 010601) | $120K | $128K | +6.7% | |
| Jackson area | $150K | $160K | +6.5% | |
| Preston area | $154K | $162K | +5.6% | |
| Joplin (Tract 010602) | $130K | $137K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galena · Joplin · (Tract 112.2) | $127K | $149K | +16.9% | |
| Joplin | $87K | $102K | +17.3% | |
| Union area | $175K | $200K | +14.0% | |
| Galena (Tract 010902) | $172K | $196K | +13.9% | |
| Galena (Tract 011100) | $167K | $191K | +13.8% | |
| Jackson | $195K | $219K | +12.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galena · Joplin · (Tract 112.2) | $127K | $149K | $80K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010601) | $120K | $128K | $75K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010800) | $108K | $113K | $72K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010100) | $100K | $106K | $60K | |
| Marion | $111K | $121K | $48K | |
| Joplin (Tract 011000) | $87K | $102K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.