County 29573, MO · Census Tract 29573001203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$445K
Downside (P10)
$281K
-37% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$522K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$972K
+118% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -37% to +118%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29573 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $445K | $469K | $465K | $483K | $522K |
| YoY Change | +5.5% | -0.9% | +3.9% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $332K | $273K | $270K | $281K | |
| Upside (P90) | $686K | $755K | $795K | $972K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$371K to $570K
44.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$281K to $972K
132.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001423 | $440K | $482K | +9.4% |
| Tract 001261 | $438K | $552K | +26.1% |
| Tract 001368 | $438K | $535K | +22.2% |
| Tract 001342 | $438K | $511K | +16.8% |
| Tract 001122 | $437K | $497K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000181 | $405K | $534K | +31.8% |
| Tract 000440 | $397K | $516K | +30.0% |
| Tract 001287 | $426K | $546K | +28.1% |
| Tract 001261 | $438K | $552K | +26.1% |
| Tract 001083 | $454K | $564K | +24.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000521 | $396K | $486K | $517K |
| Tract 000288 | $392K | $481K | $517K |
| Tract 001423 | $440K | $482K | $521K |
| Tract 000408 | $413K | $483K | $529K |
| Tract 000440 | $397K | $516K | $539K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources