County 29573, MO · Census Tract 29573000181 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$405K
Downside (P10)
$304K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$534K
+32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$943K
+133% by 2030
Base case: +32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +133%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29573 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $405K | $430K | $449K | $467K | $534K |
| YoY Change | +6.1% | +4.4% | +3.9% | +14.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $326K | $270K | $280K | $304K | |
| Upside (P90) | $643K | $710K | $755K | $943K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$328K to $551K
55.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$304K to $943K
119.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000408 | $413K | $483K | +17.1% |
| Tract 000440 | $397K | $516K | +30.0% |
| Tract 000521 | $396K | $486K | +22.6% |
| Tract 000288 | $392K | $481K | +22.6% |
| Tract 000547 | $421K | $511K | +21.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000440 | $397K | $516K | +30.0% |
| Tract 001287 | $426K | $546K | +28.1% |
| Tract 001261 | $438K | $552K | +26.1% |
| Tract 001083 | $454K | $564K | +24.2% |
| Tract 000288 | $392K | $481K | +22.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000521 | $396K | $486K | $517K |
| Tract 000288 | $392K | $481K | $517K |
| Tract 001423 | $440K | $482K | $521K |
| Tract 000408 | $413K | $483K | $529K |
| Tract 000440 | $397K | $516K | $539K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources