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Clay, MO · ZIP 64068 · Census Tract 29047020802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$284K
Downside (P10)
$247K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$322K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$457K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $284K | $289K | $306K | $322K |
| YoY Change | +1.6% | +6.0% | +5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $245K | $254K | $247K | |
| Upside (P90) | $377K | $409K | $457K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$245K to $377K
45.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$247K to $457K
65.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty · 64068 · (Tract 208.2) | $282K | $322K | +14.2% | |
| Warrensburg area | $285K | $314K | +10.4% | |
| Joachim area | $282K | $310K | +9.8% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 006500) | $283K | $310K | +9.6% | |
| Rock | $287K | $304K | +6.0% | |
| Kansas City (Tract 030004) | $285K | $294K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty · 64068 · (Tract 208.2) | $282K | $322K | +14.2% | |
| Monett | $156K | $189K | +21.2% | |
| Nine Mile Prairie area | $162K | $195K | +20.2% | |
| Black River area | $209K | $250K | +19.9% | |
| Bruner area | $293K | $351K | +19.6% | |
| Boles | $239K | $286K | +19.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty · 64068 · (Tract 208.2) | $282K | $322K | $209K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K | |
| Concord area | $59K | $63K | $31K | |
| Independence | $58K | $63K | $30K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 016500) | $65K | $68K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.