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Butler, MO · ZIP 63901 · Census Tract 29023950201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$190K
Downside (P10)
$163K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$198K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$255K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $144K | $146K | $137K | $137K | $144K | $142K | $148K | $162K | $178K | $187K | $190K | $192K | $194K | $198K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$46,414 | -$44,314 | -$53,214 | -$52,914 | -$46,314 | -$48,214 | -$42,514 | -$28,014 | -$12,314 | -$3,014 | +$1,304 | +$3,616 | +$7,394 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.4% | -23.3% | -28.0% | -27.8% | -24.3% | -25.3% | -22.3% | -14.7% | -6.5% | -1.6% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $170K | $163K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $246K | $255K | $255K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$170K to $246K
39.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$163K to $255K
46.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epps area | $190K | $198K | +4.2% | |
| Black River area | $209K | $250K | +19.9% | |
| Beaver Dam | $179K | $197K | +10.0% | |
| St. Francois | $153K | $168K | +9.8% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950302) | $151K | $163K | +7.9% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950301) | $181K | $190K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epps area | $190K | $198K | +4.2% | |
| Black River area | $209K | $250K | +19.9% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950800) | $103K | $116K | +11.9% | |
| Beaver Dam | $179K | $197K | +10.0% | |
| St. Francois | $153K | $168K | +9.8% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950400) | $98K | $107K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epps area | $190K | $198K | $92K | |
| Ash Hill | $100K | $107K | $58K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950400) | $98K | $107K | $50K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950800) | $103K | $116K | $50K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950700) | $75K | $80K | $37K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950500) | $80K | $87K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Butler, MO · ZIP 63901 · Census Tract 29023950201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$190K
Downside (P10)
$163K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$198K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$255K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $144K | $146K | $137K | $137K | $144K | $142K | $148K | $162K | $178K | $187K | $190K | $192K | $194K | $198K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$46,414 | -$44,314 | -$53,214 | -$52,914 | -$46,314 | -$48,214 | -$42,514 | -$28,014 | -$12,314 | -$3,014 | +$1,304 | +$3,616 | +$7,394 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.4% | -23.3% | -28.0% | -27.8% | -24.3% | -25.3% | -22.3% | -14.7% | -6.5% | -1.6% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $170K | $163K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $246K | $255K | $255K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$170K to $246K
39.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$163K to $255K
46.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epps area | $190K | $198K | +4.2% | |
| Black River area | $209K | $250K | +19.9% | |
| Beaver Dam | $179K | $197K | +10.0% | |
| St. Francois | $153K | $168K | +9.8% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950302) | $151K | $163K | +7.9% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950301) | $181K | $190K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epps area | $190K | $198K | +4.2% | |
| Black River area | $209K | $250K | +19.9% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950800) | $103K | $116K | +11.9% | |
| Beaver Dam | $179K | $197K | +10.0% | |
| St. Francois | $153K | $168K | +9.8% | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950400) | $98K | $107K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epps area | $190K | $198K | $92K | |
| Ash Hill | $100K | $107K | $58K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950400) | $98K | $107K | $50K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950800) | $103K | $116K | $50K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950700) | $75K | $80K | $37K | |
| Poplar Bluff (Tract 950500) | $80K | $87K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
