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Buchanan, MO · ZIP 64443 · Census Tract 29021002700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$353K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$493K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $230K | $240K | $227K | $255K | $244K | $248K | $282K | $305K | $337K | $353K | $347K | $355K | $365K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$143,257 | -$122,957 | -$113,257 | -$126,057 | -$98,057 | -$108,757 | -$105,057 | -$70,957 | -$47,757 | -$15,857 | -$5,599 | +$2,283 | +$11,633 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.6% | -34.8% | -32.1% | -35.7% | -27.8% | -30.8% | -29.8% | -20.1% | -13.5% | -4.5% | -1.6% | +0.6% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $306K | $302K | $290K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $445K | $480K | $493K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$306K to $445K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $493K
55.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont area | $348K | $365K | +4.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000701) | $210K | $236K | +12.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000702) | $239K | $260K | +8.6% | |
| Crawford area | $267K | $289K | +8.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 000100) | $352K | $380K | +8.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 002200) | $256K | $269K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont area | $348K | $365K | +4.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 003002) | $104K | $120K | +15.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001500) | $131K | $150K | +14.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 002400) | $88K | $100K | +13.3% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000701) | $210K | $236K | +12.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001600) | $120K | $135K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont area | $348K | $365K | $203K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001200) | $84K | $90K | $50K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000400) | $96K | $108K | $45K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 003001) | $72K | $79K | $44K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001100) | $81K | $86K | $42K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001000) | $65K | $69K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Buchanan, MO · ZIP 64443 · Census Tract 29021002700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$353K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$493K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $210K | $230K | $240K | $227K | $255K | $244K | $248K | $282K | $305K | $337K | $353K | $347K | $355K | $365K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$143,257 | -$122,957 | -$113,257 | -$126,057 | -$98,057 | -$108,757 | -$105,057 | -$70,957 | -$47,757 | -$15,857 | -$5,599 | +$2,283 | +$11,633 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.6% | -34.8% | -32.1% | -35.7% | -27.8% | -30.8% | -29.8% | -20.1% | -13.5% | -4.5% | -1.6% | +0.6% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $306K | $302K | $290K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $445K | $480K | $493K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$306K to $445K
39.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$290K to $493K
55.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont area | $348K | $365K | +4.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000701) | $210K | $236K | +12.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000702) | $239K | $260K | +8.6% | |
| Crawford area | $267K | $289K | +8.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 000100) | $352K | $380K | +8.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 002200) | $256K | $269K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont area | $348K | $365K | +4.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 003002) | $104K | $120K | +15.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001500) | $131K | $150K | +14.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 002400) | $88K | $100K | +13.3% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000701) | $210K | $236K | +12.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001600) | $120K | $135K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremont area | $348K | $365K | $203K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001200) | $84K | $90K | $50K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000400) | $96K | $108K | $45K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 003001) | $72K | $79K | $44K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001100) | $81K | $86K | $42K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001000) | $65K | $69K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
