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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Buchanan, MO · ZIP 64505 · Census Tract 29021000200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$210K
Downside (P10)
$163K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$212K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$313K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $140K | $139K | $141K | $144K | $146K | $154K | $180K | $192K | $203K | $210K | $211K | $226K | $212K |
| YoY Change | -3.8% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +5.5% | +16.7% | +6.7% | +5.9% | +3.6% | +0.4% | +7.2% | -6.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $180K | $171K | $163K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $254K | $279K | $313K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$180K to $254K
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$163K to $313K
70.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Joseph | $204K | $212K | +3.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000701) | $210K | $236K | +12.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000600) | $197K | $219K | +11.1% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000702) | $239K | $260K | +8.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000500) | $163K | $177K | +8.2% | |
| Washington | $256K | $269K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Joseph | $204K | $212K | +3.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 003002) | $104K | $120K | +15.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001500) | $131K | $150K | +14.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 002400) | $88K | $100K | +13.3% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000701) | $210K | $236K | +12.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001600) | $120K | $135K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Joseph | $204K | $212K | $150K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001200) | $84K | $90K | $50K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 000400) | $96K | $108K | $45K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 003001) | $72K | $79K | $44K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001100) | $81K | $86K | $42K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 001000) | $65K | $69K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.