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Boone, MO · ZIP 65203 · Census Tract 29019001702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$428K
Downside (P10)
$348K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$457K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$639K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $274K | $271K | $274K | $273K | $278K | $293K | $311K | $365K | $390K | $429K | $428K | $437K | $445K | $457K |
| YoY Change | -1.0% | +1.0% | -0.1% | +1.8% | +5.2% | +6.4% | +17.2% | +7.0% | +10.0% | -0.2% | +2.1% | +1.7% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $354K | $348K | $348K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $527K | $566K | $639K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$354K to $527K
39.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$348K to $639K
63.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Creeks area | $434K | $457K | +5.4% | |
| Rock Bridge | $450K | $515K | +14.3% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001602) | $412K | $453K | +10.0% | |
| Katy | $459K | $502K | +9.2% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001109) | $393K | $428K | +8.7% | |
| Cedar | $368K | $393K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Creeks area | $434K | $457K | +5.4% | |
| Missouri (Tract 001402) | $202K | $239K | +18.4% | |
| Missouri (Tract 001401) | $261K | $307K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001505) | $115K | $134K | +16.2% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001001) | $295K | $340K | +15.3% | |
| Perche area | $276K | $317K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Creeks area | $434K | $457K | $291K | |
| Columbia (Tract 001004) | $210K | $217K | $99K | |
| Columbia (Tract 001505) | $115K | $134K | $95K | |
| Columbia (Tract 000900) | $143K | $152K | $84K | |
| Centralia | $183K | $196K | $83K | |
| Columbia (Tract 000200) | $129K | $143K | $83K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.