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Boone, MO · ZIP 65284 · Census Tract 29019001904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$216K
Downside (P10)
$185K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$305K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $141K | $127K | $165K | $187K | $216K | $216K | $223K | $232K | $234K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,600 | -$89,300 | -$52,000 | -$29,700 | -$600 | +$6,877 | +$15,120 | +$17,052 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -41.2% | -24.0% | -13.7% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +7.0% | +7.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $200K | $196K | $185K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $268K | $288K | $305K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$200K to $268K
30.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$185K to $305K
51.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon | $218K | $234K | +7.3% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001503) | $225K | $247K | +9.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001604) | $218K | $236K | +8.3% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001603) | $220K | $234K | +6.1% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001004) | $210K | $217K | +3.3% | |
| Rocky Fork | $226K | $230K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon | $218K | $234K | +7.3% | |
| Missouri (Tract 001402) | $202K | $239K | +18.4% | |
| Missouri (Tract 001401) | $261K | $307K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001505) | $115K | $134K | +16.2% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001001) | $295K | $340K | +15.3% | |
| Perche area | $276K | $317K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon | $218K | $234K | $121K | |
| Columbia (Tract 001004) | $210K | $217K | $99K | |
| Columbia (Tract 001505) | $115K | $134K | $95K | |
| Columbia (Tract 000900) | $143K | $152K | $84K | |
| Centralia | $183K | $196K | $83K | |
| Columbia (Tract 000200) | $129K | $143K | $83K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Boone, MO · ZIP 65284 · Census Tract 29019001904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$216K
Downside (P10)
$185K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$305K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $141K | $127K | $165K | $187K | $216K | $216K | $223K | $232K | $234K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,600 | -$89,300 | -$52,000 | -$29,700 | -$600 | +$6,877 | +$15,120 | +$17,052 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -41.2% | -24.0% | -13.7% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +7.0% | +7.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $200K | $196K | $185K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $268K | $288K | $305K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$200K to $268K
30.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$185K to $305K
51.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon | $218K | $234K | +7.3% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001503) | $225K | $247K | +9.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001604) | $218K | $236K | +8.3% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001603) | $220K | $234K | +6.1% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001004) | $210K | $217K | +3.3% | |
| Rocky Fork | $226K | $230K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon | $218K | $234K | +7.3% | |
| Missouri (Tract 001402) | $202K | $239K | +18.4% | |
| Missouri (Tract 001401) | $261K | $307K | +17.7% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001505) | $115K | $134K | +16.2% | |
| Columbia (Tract 001001) | $295K | $340K | +15.3% | |
| Perche area | $276K | $317K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourbon | $218K | $234K | $121K | |
| Columbia (Tract 001004) | $210K | $217K | $99K | |
| Columbia (Tract 001505) | $115K | $134K | $95K | |
| Columbia (Tract 000900) | $143K | $152K | $84K | |
| Centralia | $183K | $196K | $83K | |
| Columbia (Tract 000200) | $129K | $143K | $83K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
