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Washington, MN · ZIP 55042 · Census Tract 27163070406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$553K
Downside (P10)
$472K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$561K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$807K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $311K | $304K | $293K | $246K | $340K | $370K | $429K | $484K | $535K | $552K | $553K | $566K | $564K | $561K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$241,911 | -$249,111 | -$260,211 | -$307,011 | -$212,611 | -$183,311 | -$124,011 | -$69,311 | -$18,111 | -$611 | +$12,982 | +$10,994 | +$8,017 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.8% | -45.1% | -47.1% | -55.5% | -38.5% | -33.2% | -22.4% | -12.5% | -3.3% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +2.0% | +1.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $510K | $490K | $472K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $674K | $775K | $807K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$510K to $674K
29.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$472K to $807K
59.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Elmo · 55042 · (Tract 704.6) | $553K | $561K | +1.5% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071019) | $598K | $696K | +16.4% | |
| Cottage Grove | $490K | $541K | +10.5% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071020) | $551K | $592K | +7.4% | |
| Stillwater | $611K | $652K | +6.6% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071016) | $564K | $598K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Elmo · 55042 · (Tract 704.6) | $553K | $561K | +1.5% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071001) | $351K | $413K | +17.7% | |
| Dellwood | $801K | $932K | +16.4% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071019) | $598K | $696K | +16.4% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071025) | $444K | $507K | +14.3% | |
| Stillwater | $434K | $496K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Elmo · 55042 · (Tract 704.6) | $553K | $561K | $336K | |
| Forest Lake (Tract 070104) | $286K | $303K | $174K | |
| St. Paul Park | $263K | $269K | $169K | |
| Forest Lake (Tract 070103) | $338K | $341K | $157K | |
| Oakdale (Tract 070910) | $282K | $288K | $135K | |
| Oakdale (Tract 070906) | $299K | $315K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, MN · ZIP 55042 · Census Tract 27163070406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$553K
Downside (P10)
$472K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$561K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$807K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $311K | $304K | $293K | $246K | $340K | $370K | $429K | $484K | $535K | $552K | $553K | $566K | $564K | $561K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$241,911 | -$249,111 | -$260,211 | -$307,011 | -$212,611 | -$183,311 | -$124,011 | -$69,311 | -$18,111 | -$611 | +$12,982 | +$10,994 | +$8,017 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.8% | -45.1% | -47.1% | -55.5% | -38.5% | -33.2% | -22.4% | -12.5% | -3.3% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +2.0% | +1.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $510K | $490K | $472K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $674K | $775K | $807K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$510K to $674K
29.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$472K to $807K
59.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Elmo · 55042 · (Tract 704.6) | $553K | $561K | +1.5% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071019) | $598K | $696K | +16.4% | |
| Cottage Grove | $490K | $541K | +10.5% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071020) | $551K | $592K | +7.4% | |
| Stillwater | $611K | $652K | +6.6% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071016) | $564K | $598K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Elmo · 55042 · (Tract 704.6) | $553K | $561K | +1.5% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071001) | $351K | $413K | +17.7% | |
| Dellwood | $801K | $932K | +16.4% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071019) | $598K | $696K | +16.4% | |
| Woodbury (Tract 071025) | $444K | $507K | +14.3% | |
| Stillwater | $434K | $496K | +14.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Elmo · 55042 · (Tract 704.6) | $553K | $561K | $336K | |
| Forest Lake (Tract 070104) | $286K | $303K | $174K | |
| St. Paul Park | $263K | $269K | $169K | |
| Forest Lake (Tract 070103) | $338K | $341K | $157K | |
| Oakdale (Tract 070910) | $282K | $288K | $135K | |
| Oakdale (Tract 070906) | $299K | $315K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
