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St. Louis, MN · ZIP 55802 · Census Tract 27137001900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$570K
Downside (P10)
$504K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$629K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$815K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $522K | $574K | $456K | $418K | $1.6M | $422K | $583K | $558K | $570K | $578K | $614K | $629K |
| YoY Change | +10.1% | -20.5% | -8.5% | +271.8% | -72.8% | +38.2% | -4.4% | +2.2% | +1.5% | +6.2% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $503K | $518K | $504K | |||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $693K | $787K | $815K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$503K to $693K
32.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$504K to $815K
49.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duluth | $557K | $629K | +13.0% | |
| Northeast St. Louis | $421K | $456K | +8.4% | |
| Duluth (Tract 000700) | $411K | $443K | +7.7% | |
| Duluth (Tract 001100) | $404K | $424K | +4.8% | |
| Fredenberg area | $418K | $438K | +4.8% | |
| Near Duluth | $497K | $520K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duluth | $557K | $629K | +13.0% | |
| Hibbing (Tract 012100) | $162K | $190K | +16.8% | |
| Duluth (Tract 015600) | $125K | $145K | +15.6% | |
| Hibbing (Tract 012200) | $86K | $98K | +13.6% | |
| Duluth (Tract 015700) | $316K | $358K | +13.4% | |
| Sand Lake area | $239K | $269K | +12.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duluth | $557K | $629K | $312K | |
| Virginia (Tract 013000) | $113K | $126K | $57K | |
| Gilbert | $127K | $134K | $55K | |
| Babbitt | $104K | $112K | $52K | |
| Eveleth | $99K | $102K | $52K | |
| Virginia (Tract 013100) | $81K | $91K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.