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Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55127 · Census Tract 27123040605 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$392K
Downside (P10)
$338K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$413K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$546K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $256K | $272K | $318K | $341K | $378K | $392K | $389K | $403K | $413K |
| YoY Change | +6.6% | +16.7% | +7.1% | +10.8% | +3.8% | -0.6% | +3.6% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $352K | $351K | $338K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $467K | $513K | $546K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$352K to $467K
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$338K to $546K
50.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadnais Heights · Saint Paul · (Tract 406.5) | $384K | $413K | +7.6% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035500) | $398K | $459K | +15.4% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036600) | $389K | $442K | +13.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 037601) | $395K | $447K | +13.3% | |
| Maplewood | $398K | $447K | +12.5% | |
| Falcon Heights | $391K | $411K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadnais Heights · Saint Paul · (Tract 406.5) | $384K | $413K | +7.6% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadnais Heights · Saint Paul · (Tract 406.5) | $384K | $413K | $208K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.