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Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55106 · Census Tract 27123031702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$242K
Downside (P10)
$210K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$406K
+68% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $121K | $140K | $138K | $144K | $154K | $165K | $198K | $216K | $233K | $242K | $249K | $253K | $256K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,225 | -$120,525 | -$102,125 | -$104,225 | -$97,925 | -$88,125 | -$77,425 | -$43,925 | -$25,725 | -$8,525 | +$6,648 | +$11,081 | +$13,853 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.5% | -49.8% | -42.2% | -43.1% | -40.5% | -36.4% | -32.0% | -18.2% | -10.6% | -3.5% | +2.7% | +4.6% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $217K | $215K | $210K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $313K | $357K | $406K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$217K to $313K
38.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$210K to $406K
76.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $237K | $256K | +7.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034201) | $243K | $277K | +14.0% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 032500) | $242K | $272K | +12.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036100) | $244K | $269K | +10.3% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 033500) | $244K | $254K | +3.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 033100) | $242K | $244K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $237K | $256K | +7.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $237K | $256K | $196K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55106 · Census Tract 27123031702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$242K
Downside (P10)
$210K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$406K
+68% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $121K | $140K | $138K | $144K | $154K | $165K | $198K | $216K | $233K | $242K | $249K | $253K | $256K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,225 | -$120,525 | -$102,125 | -$104,225 | -$97,925 | -$88,125 | -$77,425 | -$43,925 | -$25,725 | -$8,525 | +$6,648 | +$11,081 | +$13,853 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.5% | -49.8% | -42.2% | -43.1% | -40.5% | -36.4% | -32.0% | -18.2% | -10.6% | -3.5% | +2.7% | +4.6% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $217K | $215K | $210K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $313K | $357K | $406K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$217K to $313K
38.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$210K to $406K
76.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $237K | $256K | +7.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034201) | $243K | $277K | +14.0% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 032500) | $242K | $272K | +12.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036100) | $244K | $269K | +10.3% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 033500) | $244K | $254K | +3.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 033100) | $242K | $244K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $237K | $256K | +7.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $237K | $256K | $196K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
