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Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55127 · Census Tract 27123040601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$782K
Downside (P10)
$673K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$815K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+49% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $448K | $476K | $530K | $576K | $587K | $639K | $660K | $679K | $712K | $777K | $782K | $809K | $808K | $815K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$333,996 | -$305,596 | -$251,796 | -$206,496 | -$195,196 | -$142,696 | -$122,196 | -$102,896 | -$70,396 | -$4,696 | +$27,504 | +$26,387 | +$33,112 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.7% | -39.1% | -32.2% | -26.4% | -25.0% | -18.2% | -15.6% | -13.2% | -9.0% | -0.6% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $682K | $670K | $673K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $974K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$682K to $974K
36.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$673K to $1.2M
60.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Oaks | $797K | $815K | +2.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034900) | $551K | $618K | +12.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035100) | $580K | $629K | +8.4% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043001) | $526K | $535K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Oaks | $797K | $815K | +2.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Oaks | $797K | $815K | $491K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55127 · Census Tract 27123040601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$782K
Downside (P10)
$673K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$815K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+49% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $448K | $476K | $530K | $576K | $587K | $639K | $660K | $679K | $712K | $777K | $782K | $809K | $808K | $815K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$333,996 | -$305,596 | -$251,796 | -$206,496 | -$195,196 | -$142,696 | -$122,196 | -$102,896 | -$70,396 | -$4,696 | +$27,504 | +$26,387 | +$33,112 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.7% | -39.1% | -32.2% | -26.4% | -25.0% | -18.2% | -15.6% | -13.2% | -9.0% | -0.6% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +4.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $682K | $670K | $673K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $974K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$682K to $974K
36.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$673K to $1.2M
60.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Oaks | $797K | $815K | +2.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034900) | $551K | $618K | +12.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035100) | $580K | $629K | +8.4% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043001) | $526K | $535K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Oaks | $797K | $815K | +2.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Oaks | $797K | $815K | $491K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
