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Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55109 · Census Tract 27123042401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$342K
Downside (P10)
$274K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$350K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$561K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $187K | $205K | $214K | $227K | $225K | $236K | $250K | $297K | $316K | $344K | $342K | $349K | $362K | $350K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$154,871 | -$137,771 | -$128,171 | -$115,771 | -$117,471 | -$106,471 | -$92,471 | -$45,271 | -$26,071 | +$1,529 | +$6,395 | +$19,389 | +$7,726 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.2% | -40.3% | -37.4% | -33.8% | -34.3% | -31.1% | -27.0% | -13.2% | -7.6% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +5.7% | +2.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $291K | $301K | $274K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $485K | $518K | $561K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$291K to $485K
55.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$274K to $561K
82.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maplewood · Saint Paul · (Tract 424.1) | $348K | $350K | +0.5% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 032100) | $344K | $379K | +10.4% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031900) | $341K | $373K | +9.4% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041602) | $341K | $370K | +8.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030300) | $342K | $369K | +7.8% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041800) | $342K | $364K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maplewood · Saint Paul · (Tract 424.1) | $348K | $350K | +0.5% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maplewood · Saint Paul · (Tract 424.1) | $348K | $350K | $287K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55109 · Census Tract 27123042401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$342K
Downside (P10)
$274K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$350K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$561K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $187K | $205K | $214K | $227K | $225K | $236K | $250K | $297K | $316K | $344K | $342K | $349K | $362K | $350K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$154,871 | -$137,771 | -$128,171 | -$115,771 | -$117,471 | -$106,471 | -$92,471 | -$45,271 | -$26,071 | +$1,529 | +$6,395 | +$19,389 | +$7,726 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.2% | -40.3% | -37.4% | -33.8% | -34.3% | -31.1% | -27.0% | -13.2% | -7.6% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +5.7% | +2.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $291K | $301K | $274K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $485K | $518K | $561K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$291K to $485K
55.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$274K to $561K
82.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maplewood · Saint Paul · (Tract 424.1) | $348K | $350K | +0.5% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 032100) | $344K | $379K | +10.4% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031900) | $341K | $373K | +9.4% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041602) | $341K | $370K | +8.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030300) | $342K | $369K | +7.8% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041800) | $342K | $364K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maplewood · Saint Paul · (Tract 424.1) | $348K | $350K | +0.5% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maplewood · Saint Paul · (Tract 424.1) | $348K | $350K | $287K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
