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Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55112 · Census Tract 27123040801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$376K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$548K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $203K | $234K | $235K | $246K | $254K | $270K | $285K | $317K | $376K | $355K | $361K | $369K | $376K | $376K | $370K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$157,933 | -$126,133 | -$125,933 | -$114,533 | -$106,933 | -$90,833 | -$75,133 | -$43,433 | +$14,967 | -$5,333 | +$8,620 | +$15,390 | +$15,013 | +$9,831 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.8% | -35.0% | -34.9% | -31.8% | -29.7% | -25.2% | -20.8% | -12.0% | +4.2% | -1.5% | +2.4% | +4.3% | +4.2% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $324K | $321K | $317K | $326K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $467K | $519K | $548K | $412K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$324K to $467K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$326K to $412K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Hills · Saint Paul · (Tract 408.1) | $362K | $376K | +3.9% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041500) | $364K | $404K | +11.0% | |
| Shoreview | $361K | $398K | +10.0% | |
| Mounds View | $360K | $391K | +8.7% | |
| St. Paul | $356K | $382K | +7.1% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041302) | $363K | $387K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Hills · Saint Paul · (Tract 408.1) | $362K | $376K | +3.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Hills · Saint Paul · (Tract 408.1) | $362K | $376K | $230K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55112 · Census Tract 27123040801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$376K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$548K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $203K | $234K | $235K | $246K | $254K | $270K | $285K | $317K | $376K | $355K | $361K | $369K | $376K | $376K | $370K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$157,933 | -$126,133 | -$125,933 | -$114,533 | -$106,933 | -$90,833 | -$75,133 | -$43,433 | +$14,967 | -$5,333 | +$8,620 | +$15,390 | +$15,013 | +$9,831 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.8% | -35.0% | -34.9% | -31.8% | -29.7% | -25.2% | -20.8% | -12.0% | +4.2% | -1.5% | +2.4% | +4.3% | +4.2% | +2.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $324K | $321K | $317K | $326K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $467K | $519K | $548K | $412K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$324K to $467K
38.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$326K to $412K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Hills · Saint Paul · (Tract 408.1) | $362K | $376K | +3.9% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041500) | $364K | $404K | +11.0% | |
| Shoreview | $361K | $398K | +10.0% | |
| Mounds View | $360K | $391K | +8.7% | |
| St. Paul | $356K | $382K | +7.1% | |
| Roseville (Tract 041302) | $363K | $387K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Hills · Saint Paul · (Tract 408.1) | $362K | $376K | +3.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Hills · Saint Paul · (Tract 408.1) | $362K | $376K | $230K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
