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Nicollet, MN · ZIP 56003 · Census Tract 27103480600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$210K
Downside (P10)
$184K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$285K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $138K | $140K | $147K | $155K | $158K | $155K | $162K | $176K | $185K | $202K | $210K | $211K | $221K | $227K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$71,640 | -$70,040 | -$62,340 | -$54,340 | -$51,340 | -$54,740 | -$47,640 | -$34,040 | -$24,640 | -$7,340 | +$1,541 | +$11,222 | +$17,106 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.2% | -33.4% | -29.8% | -25.9% | -24.5% | -26.1% | -22.7% | -16.2% | -11.8% | -3.5% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $187K | $185K | $184K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $253K | $264K | $285K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$187K to $253K
31.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $285K
44.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Mankato · Mankato · (Tract 4806) | $209K | $227K | +8.7% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480501) | $311K | $366K | +17.7% | |
| Lafayette area | $279K | $319K | +14.5% | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480400) | $263K | $286K | +8.5% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480502) | $282K | $293K | +3.9% | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480300) | $247K | $243K | -1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Mankato · Mankato · (Tract 4806) | $209K | $227K | +8.7% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480501) | $311K | $366K | +17.7% | |
| Lafayette area | $279K | $319K | +14.5% | |
| Traverse area | $344K | $381K | +10.8% | |
| St. Peter | $263K | $286K | +8.5% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480502) | $282K | $293K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Mankato · Mankato · (Tract 4806) | $209K | $227K | $101K | |
| Lafayette area | $279K | $319K | $195K | |
| Traverse area | $344K | $381K | $184K | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480400) | $263K | $286K | $172K | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480300) | $247K | $243K | $160K | |
| North Mankato | $282K | $293K | $140K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Nicollet, MN · ZIP 56003 · Census Tract 27103480600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$210K
Downside (P10)
$184K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$285K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $138K | $140K | $147K | $155K | $158K | $155K | $162K | $176K | $185K | $202K | $210K | $211K | $221K | $227K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$71,640 | -$70,040 | -$62,340 | -$54,340 | -$51,340 | -$54,740 | -$47,640 | -$34,040 | -$24,640 | -$7,340 | +$1,541 | +$11,222 | +$17,106 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.2% | -33.4% | -29.8% | -25.9% | -24.5% | -26.1% | -22.7% | -16.2% | -11.8% | -3.5% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $187K | $185K | $184K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $253K | $264K | $285K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$187K to $253K
31.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $285K
44.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Mankato · Mankato · (Tract 4806) | $209K | $227K | +8.7% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480501) | $311K | $366K | +17.7% | |
| Lafayette area | $279K | $319K | +14.5% | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480400) | $263K | $286K | +8.5% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480502) | $282K | $293K | +3.9% | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480300) | $247K | $243K | -1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Mankato · Mankato · (Tract 4806) | $209K | $227K | +8.7% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480501) | $311K | $366K | +17.7% | |
| Lafayette area | $279K | $319K | +14.5% | |
| Traverse area | $344K | $381K | +10.8% | |
| St. Peter | $263K | $286K | +8.5% | |
| North Mankato (Tract 480502) | $282K | $293K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Mankato · Mankato · (Tract 4806) | $209K | $227K | $101K | |
| Lafayette area | $279K | $319K | $195K | |
| Traverse area | $344K | $381K | $184K | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480400) | $263K | $286K | $172K | |
| St. Peter (Tract 480300) | $247K | $243K | $160K | |
| North Mankato | $282K | $293K | $140K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
