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Minneapolis, MN · ZIP 55426 · Census Tract 27053022102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$299K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$335K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$407K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $206K | $216K | $210K | $243K | $260K | $253K | $258K | $294K | $282K | $294K | $299K | $307K | $322K | $335K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$93,188 | -$83,788 | -$89,188 | -$56,788 | -$39,888 | -$46,388 | -$40,988 | -$5,488 | -$17,188 | -$5,488 | +$7,231 | +$23,079 | +$35,927 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.1% | -28.0% | -29.8% | -19.0% | -13.3% | -15.5% | -13.7% | -1.8% | -5.7% | -1.8% | +2.4% | +7.7% | +12.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $254K | $242K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $379K | $399K | $407K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$261K to $379K
38.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$242K to $407K
49.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Park | $296K | $335K | +13.3% | |
| Brooklyn Center (Tract 020400) | $296K | $326K | +10.1% | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 003200) | $303K | $333K | +9.8% | |
| Brooklyn Center (Tract 020202) | $300K | $329K | +9.6% | |
| St. Louis Park | $300K | $318K | +6.0% | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 000300) | $303K | $316K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Park | $296K | $335K | +13.3% | |
| Minneapolis | $355K | $437K | +23.0% | |
| Richfield (Tract 024300) | $365K | $448K | +22.6% | |
| Richfield (Tract 024500) | $359K | $427K | +18.9% | |
| Crystal | $359K | $426K | +18.4% | |
| Richfield (Tract 024200) | $368K | $435K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Park | $296K | $335K | $165K | |
| Brooklyn Center | $238K | $257K | $131K | |
| Edina (Tract 024005) | $210K | $215K | $116K | |
| Edina (Tract 024004) | $228K | $248K | $112K | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 007801) | $199K | $211K | $85K | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 005902) | $159K | $170K | $84K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Minneapolis, MN · ZIP 55426 · Census Tract 27053022102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$299K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$335K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$407K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $206K | $216K | $210K | $243K | $260K | $253K | $258K | $294K | $282K | $294K | $299K | $307K | $322K | $335K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$93,188 | -$83,788 | -$89,188 | -$56,788 | -$39,888 | -$46,388 | -$40,988 | -$5,488 | -$17,188 | -$5,488 | +$7,231 | +$23,079 | +$35,927 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -31.1% | -28.0% | -29.8% | -19.0% | -13.3% | -15.5% | -13.7% | -1.8% | -5.7% | -1.8% | +2.4% | +7.7% | +12.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $254K | $242K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $379K | $399K | $407K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$261K to $379K
38.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$242K to $407K
49.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Park | $296K | $335K | +13.3% | |
| Brooklyn Center (Tract 020400) | $296K | $326K | +10.1% | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 003200) | $303K | $333K | +9.8% | |
| Brooklyn Center (Tract 020202) | $300K | $329K | +9.6% | |
| St. Louis Park | $300K | $318K | +6.0% | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 000300) | $303K | $316K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Park | $296K | $335K | +13.3% | |
| Minneapolis | $355K | $437K | +23.0% | |
| Richfield (Tract 024300) | $365K | $448K | +22.6% | |
| Richfield (Tract 024500) | $359K | $427K | +18.9% | |
| Crystal | $359K | $426K | +18.4% | |
| Richfield (Tract 024200) | $368K | $435K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Park | $296K | $335K | $165K | |
| Brooklyn Center | $238K | $257K | $131K | |
| Edina (Tract 024005) | $210K | $215K | $116K | |
| Edina (Tract 024004) | $228K | $248K | $112K | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 007801) | $199K | $211K | $85K | |
| Minneapolis (Tract 005902) | $159K | $170K | $84K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
