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Martin, MN · ZIP 56031 · Census Tract 27091790400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$175K
Downside (P10)
$121K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$188K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$243K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $110K | $114K | $122K | $122K | $137K | $147K | $146K | $152K | $167K | $175K | $180K | $183K | $188K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$66,079 | -$65,679 | -$61,879 | -$53,479 | -$53,079 | -$38,479 | -$28,879 | -$29,879 | -$23,579 | -$8,279 | +$4,597 | +$7,360 | +$12,396 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.7% | -37.4% | -35.3% | -30.5% | -30.3% | -21.9% | -16.5% | -17.0% | -13.4% | -4.7% | +2.6% | +4.2% | +7.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $136K | $135K | $121K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $203K | $221K | $243K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$136K to $203K
37.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$121K to $243K
64.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenhassen area | $171K | $188K | +9.8% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790502) | $180K | $203K | +13.1% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790600) | $116K | $127K | +9.9% | |
| Fraser area | $153K | $168K | +9.6% | |
| Rolling Green area | $184K | $199K | +8.2% | |
| Waverly area | $130K | $136K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenhassen area | $171K | $188K | +9.8% | |
| Rolling Green area (Tract 790501) | $297K | $356K | +19.8% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790502) | $180K | $203K | +13.1% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790600) | $116K | $127K | +9.9% | |
| Fraser area | $153K | $168K | +9.6% | |
| Rolling Green area (Tract 790300) | $184K | $199K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenhassen area | $171K | $188K | $122K | |
| Rolling Green area | $184K | $199K | $101K | |
| Fraser area | $153K | $168K | $89K | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790502) | $180K | $203K | $84K | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790600) | $116K | $127K | $68K | |
| Waverly area | $130K | $136K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Martin, MN · ZIP 56031 · Census Tract 27091790400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$175K
Downside (P10)
$121K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$188K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$243K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $110K | $114K | $122K | $122K | $137K | $147K | $146K | $152K | $167K | $175K | $180K | $183K | $188K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$66,079 | -$65,679 | -$61,879 | -$53,479 | -$53,079 | -$38,479 | -$28,879 | -$29,879 | -$23,579 | -$8,279 | +$4,597 | +$7,360 | +$12,396 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.7% | -37.4% | -35.3% | -30.5% | -30.3% | -21.9% | -16.5% | -17.0% | -13.4% | -4.7% | +2.6% | +4.2% | +7.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $136K | $135K | $121K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $203K | $221K | $243K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$136K to $203K
37.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$121K to $243K
64.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenhassen area | $171K | $188K | +9.8% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790502) | $180K | $203K | +13.1% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790600) | $116K | $127K | +9.9% | |
| Fraser area | $153K | $168K | +9.6% | |
| Rolling Green area | $184K | $199K | +8.2% | |
| Waverly area | $130K | $136K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenhassen area | $171K | $188K | +9.8% | |
| Rolling Green area (Tract 790501) | $297K | $356K | +19.8% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790502) | $180K | $203K | +13.1% | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790600) | $116K | $127K | +9.9% | |
| Fraser area | $153K | $168K | +9.6% | |
| Rolling Green area (Tract 790300) | $184K | $199K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenhassen area | $171K | $188K | $122K | |
| Rolling Green area | $184K | $199K | $101K | |
| Fraser area | $153K | $168K | $89K | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790502) | $180K | $203K | $84K | |
| Fairmont (Tract 790600) | $116K | $127K | $68K | |
| Waverly area | $130K | $136K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
