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Itasca, MN · ZIP 56639 · Census Tract 27061480101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$193K
Downside (P10)
$165K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$213K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$284K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $154K | $159K | $179K | $182K | $184K | $193K | $196K | $204K | $213K | $193K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$39,603 | -$33,803 | -$13,803 | -$10,803 | -$9,503 | +$2,812 | +$10,850 | +$19,604 | -$319 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -20.5% | -17.5% | -7.1% | -5.6% | -4.9% | +1.5% | +5.6% | +10.1% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $165K | $170K | $165K | $170K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $228K | $252K | $284K | $219K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$165K to $228K
32.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$170K to $219K
25.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effie area | $188K | $213K | +13.5% | |
| Balsam area | $202K | $231K | +14.2% | |
| Grand Rapids (Tract 480803) | $208K | $236K | +13.3% | |
| Grand Rapids (Tract 480901) | $172K | $188K | +9.5% | |
| Spang area | $183K | $197K | +7.6% | |
| Deer River area | $185K | $193K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effie area | $188K | $213K | +13.5% | |
| Grand Rapids | $241K | $278K | +15.4% | |
| Kinghurst area | $250K | $287K | +14.5% | |
| Wabana area | $350K | $400K | +14.3% | |
| Balsam area | $202K | $231K | +14.2% | |
| Deer Lake | $218K | $249K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effie area | $188K | $213K | $118K | |
| Grand Rapids area | $222K | $246K | $110K | |
| Grand Rapids | $172K | $188K | $107K | |
| Spang area | $183K | $197K | $107K | |
| Greenway area | $164K | $179K | $91K | |
| Northeast Itasca area | $113K | $123K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Itasca, MN · ZIP 56639 · Census Tract 27061480101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$193K
Downside (P10)
$165K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$213K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$284K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $154K | $159K | $179K | $182K | $184K | $193K | $196K | $204K | $213K | $193K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$39,603 | -$33,803 | -$13,803 | -$10,803 | -$9,503 | +$2,812 | +$10,850 | +$19,604 | -$319 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -20.5% | -17.5% | -7.1% | -5.6% | -4.9% | +1.5% | +5.6% | +10.1% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $165K | $170K | $165K | $170K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $228K | $252K | $284K | $219K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$165K to $228K
32.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$170K to $219K
25.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effie area | $188K | $213K | +13.5% | |
| Balsam area | $202K | $231K | +14.2% | |
| Grand Rapids (Tract 480803) | $208K | $236K | +13.3% | |
| Grand Rapids (Tract 480901) | $172K | $188K | +9.5% | |
| Spang area | $183K | $197K | +7.6% | |
| Deer River area | $185K | $193K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effie area | $188K | $213K | +13.5% | |
| Grand Rapids | $241K | $278K | +15.4% | |
| Kinghurst area | $250K | $287K | +14.5% | |
| Wabana area | $350K | $400K | +14.3% | |
| Balsam area | $202K | $231K | +14.2% | |
| Deer Lake | $218K | $249K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effie area | $188K | $213K | $118K | |
| Grand Rapids area | $222K | $246K | $110K | |
| Grand Rapids | $172K | $188K | $107K | |
| Spang area | $183K | $197K | $107K | |
| Greenway area | $164K | $179K | $91K | |
| Northeast Itasca area | $113K | $123K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
