What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27041450704 in Alexandria?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $221,225 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27041450704 in Alexandria?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $221,225 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.7%.

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Parcel 27041450704 (Alexandria) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 27041450704, Alexandria Home Price Forecast

Douglas, MN · ZIP 56308 · Census Tract 27041450704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$221K

Downside (P10)

$185K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$243K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$318K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$176K	$192K	$210K	$213K	$218K	$221K	$228K	$240K	$243K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$45,225	-$29,425	-$10,825	-$8,425	-$3,625		+$6,770	+$19,003	+$21,510
Growth % vs 2026	-20.4%	-13.3%	-4.9%	-3.8%	-1.6%		+3.1%	+8.6%	+9.7%
Downside (P10)							$195K	$201K	$185K
Upside (P90)							$270K	$296K	$318K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$195K to $270K

33.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$185K to $318K

54.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.7% · Spread: 55%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 27041450704, Alexandria on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).