What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27041450602 in Alexandria area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $301,037 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 27041450602 in Alexandria area?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $301,037 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.5%.

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Parcel 27041450602 (Alexandria area) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 27041450602, Alexandria area Home Price Forecast

Douglas, MN · ZIP 56308 · Census Tract 27041450602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$301K

Downside (P10)

$249K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$336K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$422K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$188K	$208K	$229K	$260K	$290K	$301K	$312K	$320K	$336K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$113,237	-$92,737	-$71,937	-$40,937	-$11,137		+$10,505	+$19,404	+$34,741
Growth % vs 2026	-37.6%	-30.8%	-23.9%	-13.6%	-3.7%		+3.5%	+6.4%	+11.5%
Downside (P10)							$259K	$256K	$249K
Upside (P90)							$379K	$400K	$422K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$259K to $379K

38.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$249K to $422K

51.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.5% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 27041450602, Alexandria area on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).