Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Dakota, MN · ZIP 55124 · Census Tract 27037060829 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$284K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$277K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$361K
+27% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +27%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $153K | $161K | $165K | $174K | $203K | $220K | $255K | $261K | $280K | $284K | $293K | $295K | $277K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | +5.2% | +2.7% | +5.4% | +16.7% | +8.1% | +15.8% | +2.6% | +7.2% | +1.4% | +3.5% | +0.7% | -6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $227K | $218K | $224K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $343K | $337K | $361K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$227K to $343K
39.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$224K to $361K
49.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Valley | $281K | $277K | -1.7% | |
| Apple Valley | $290K | $338K | +16.5% | |
| South St. Paul | $274K | $311K | +13.7% | |
| Eagan | $290K | $313K | +8.1% | |
| West St. Paul (Tract 060105) | $293K | $306K | +4.6% | |
| West St. Paul (Tract 060101) | $289K | $293K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Valley | $281K | $277K | -1.7% | |
| South St. Paul | $321K | $384K | +19.6% | |
| Burnsville | $375K | $447K | +19.4% | |
| West St. Paul | $260K | $306K | +17.8% | |
| Eagan | $341K | $400K | +17.4% | |
| Inver Grove Heights | $648K | $759K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Valley | $281K | $277K | $137K | |
| Burnsville | $239K | $257K | $141K | |
| Eagan (Tract 060725) | $208K | $222K | $138K | |
| West St. Paul | $293K | $306K | $136K | |
| Apple Valley | $337K | $346K | $134K | |
| Eagan (Tract 060749) | $246K | $269K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.