County 27907, MN · Census Tract 27907711161 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.25M
Downside (P10)
$1.05M
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.32M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.75M
+40% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +40%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 27907 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +13.2% | -5.9% | -6.5% | +5.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.13M to $1.40M
21.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.05M to $1.75M
53.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 710560 | $1.24M | $1.38M | +11.2% |
| Tract 711103 | $1.27M | $1.28M | +1.3% |
| Tract 710780 | $1.23M | $1.23M | +0.2% |
| Tract 711129 | $1.22M | $1.34M | +10.1% |
| Tract 710900 | $1.30M | $1.42M | +9.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 710683 | $1.16M | $1.47M | +27.0% |
| Tract 710560 | $1.24M | $1.38M | +11.2% |
| Tract 711129 | $1.22M | $1.34M | +10.1% |
| Tract 710900 | $1.30M | $1.42M | +9.8% |
| Tract 710942 | $1.16M | $1.22M | +5.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 710926 | $1.37M | $1.41M | $738K |
| Tract 710900 | $1.30M | $1.42M | $746K |
| Tract 710780 | $1.23M | $1.23M | $747K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources