County 27907, MN · Census Tract 27907711103 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.27M
Downside (P10)
$978K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.28M
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.75M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +39%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27907 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +8.8% | -7.6% | -3.2% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.2M | $1.0M | $939K | $978K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.14M to $1.45M
24.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$978K to $1.75M
60.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 711161 | $1.25M | $1.32M | +5.4% |
| Tract 710560 | $1.24M | $1.38M | +11.2% |
| Tract 710900 | $1.30M | $1.42M | +9.8% |
| Tract 710780 | $1.23M | $1.23M | +0.2% |
| Tract 710104 | $1.31M | $1.37M | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 710683 | $1.16M | $1.47M | +27.0% |
| Tract 710560 | $1.24M | $1.38M | +11.2% |
| Tract 711129 | $1.22M | $1.34M | +10.1% |
| Tract 710900 | $1.30M | $1.42M | +9.8% |
| Tract 710942 | $1.16M | $1.22M | +5.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 711161 | $1.25M | $1.32M | $699K |
| Tract 710926 | $1.37M | $1.41M | $738K |
| Tract 710900 | $1.30M | $1.42M | $746K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources