County 27581, MN · Census Tract 27581200001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$3.10M
Downside (P10)
$1.62M
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.09M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.53M
-18% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to -18%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 27581 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $3.1M | $3.0M | $2.6M | $2.2M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | -4.6% | -12.8% | -14.8% | -4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.5M | $2.1M | $1.7M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.3M | $2.9M | $2.6M | $2.5M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.69M to $3.38M
22.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.62M to $2.53M
43.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600009 | $2.82M | $2.04M | -27.6% |
| Tract 080001 | $2.79M | $1.86M | -33.1% |
| Tract 000007 | $2.17M | $1.53M | -29.2% |
| Tract 800003 | $2.02M | $1.58M | -21.6% |
| Tract 840005 | $1.95M | $1.37M | -29.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800003 | $2.02M | $1.58M | -21.6% |
| Tract 600009 | $2.82M | $2.04M | -27.6% |
| Tract 000007 | $2.17M | $1.53M | -29.2% |
| Tract 840005 | $1.95M | $1.37M | -29.7% |
| Tract 960008 | $1.55M | $1.05M | -32.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960008 | $1.55M | $1.05M | $960K |
| Tract 840005 | $1.95M | $1.37M | $1.05M |
| Tract 000007 | $2.17M | $1.53M | $1.06M |
| Tract 800003 | $2.02M | $1.58M | $1.14M |
| Tract 600009 | $2.82M | $2.04M | $1.20M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources