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Brown, MN · ZIP 56041 · Census Tract 27015960700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$231K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$271K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$329K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $169K | $170K | $177K | $180K | $185K | $194K | $224K | $238K | $253K | $266K | $265K | $268K | $271K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$96,252 | -$96,352 | -$95,752 | -$88,652 | -$86,052 | -$80,552 | -$71,752 | -$41,452 | -$27,752 | -$13,052 | -$783 | +$2,135 | +$5,623 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.2% | -36.3% | -36.0% | -33.4% | -32.4% | -30.3% | -27.0% | -15.6% | -10.4% | -4.9% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +2.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $232K | $233K | $231K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $310K | $329K | $329K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$232K to $310K
29.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$231K to $329K
36.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albin area | $256K | $271K | +6.0% | |
| Home area (Tract 960500) | $157K | $174K | +11.1% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960102) | $168K | $186K | +11.0% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960300) | $193K | $212K | +9.9% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960200) | $216K | $227K | +5.3% | |
| Home area (Tract 960400) | $283K | $296K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albin area | $256K | $271K | +6.0% | |
| Home area | $157K | $174K | +11.1% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960102) | $168K | $186K | +11.0% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960300) | $193K | $212K | +9.9% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960200) | $216K | $227K | +5.3% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960101) | $157K | $164K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albin area | $256K | $271K | $98K | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960102) | $168K | $186K | $125K | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960300) | $193K | $212K | $108K | |
| Home area | $157K | $174K | $97K | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960101) | $157K | $164K | $75K | |
| Stately area | $139K | $143K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Brown, MN · ZIP 56041 · Census Tract 27015960700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$231K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$271K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$329K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $169K | $170K | $177K | $180K | $185K | $194K | $224K | $238K | $253K | $266K | $265K | $268K | $271K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$96,252 | -$96,352 | -$95,752 | -$88,652 | -$86,052 | -$80,552 | -$71,752 | -$41,452 | -$27,752 | -$13,052 | -$783 | +$2,135 | +$5,623 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.2% | -36.3% | -36.0% | -33.4% | -32.4% | -30.3% | -27.0% | -15.6% | -10.4% | -4.9% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +2.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $232K | $233K | $231K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $310K | $329K | $329K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$232K to $310K
29.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$231K to $329K
36.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albin area | $256K | $271K | +6.0% | |
| Home area (Tract 960500) | $157K | $174K | +11.1% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960102) | $168K | $186K | +11.0% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960300) | $193K | $212K | +9.9% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960200) | $216K | $227K | +5.3% | |
| Home area (Tract 960400) | $283K | $296K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albin area | $256K | $271K | +6.0% | |
| Home area | $157K | $174K | +11.1% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960102) | $168K | $186K | +11.0% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960300) | $193K | $212K | +9.9% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960200) | $216K | $227K | +5.3% | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960101) | $157K | $164K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albin area | $256K | $271K | $98K | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960102) | $168K | $186K | $125K | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960300) | $193K | $212K | $108K | |
| Home area | $157K | $174K | $97K | |
| New Ulm (Tract 960101) | $157K | $164K | $75K | |
| Stately area | $139K | $143K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
