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St. Joseph, MI · ZIP 49093 · Census Tract 26149040200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$107K
Downside (P10)
$89K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$164K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $48K | $55K | $52K | $54K | $60K | $61K | $57K | $91K | $94K | $108K | $107K | $111K | $116K | $118K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$58,804 | -$51,904 | -$54,704 | -$52,404 | -$46,904 | -$45,804 | -$49,504 | -$15,304 | -$12,904 | +$896 | +$4,275 | +$9,554 | +$11,067 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.1% | -48.6% | -51.3% | -49.1% | -44.0% | -42.9% | -46.4% | -14.3% | -12.1% | +0.8% | +4.0% | +9.0% | +10.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $94K | $91K | $89K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $132K | $143K | $164K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$94K to $132K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$89K to $164K
63.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Rivers area · Three Rivers · (Tract 402) | $106K | $118K | +11.2% | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $149K | $171K | +15.4% | |
| Burr Oak | $152K | $174K | +14.6% | |
| Three Rivers area | $117K | $134K | +14.0% | |
| Fabius area | $143K | $153K | +7.0% | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040700) | $111K | $114K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Rivers area · Three Rivers · (Tract 402) | $106K | $118K | +11.2% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202086) | $967K | $1.28M | +32.4% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200428) | $938K | $1.19M | +27.3% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201524) | $985K | $1.25M | +26.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201207) | $1.01M | $1.27M | +25.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201223) | $895K | $1.12M | +25.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Rivers area · Three Rivers · (Tract 402) | $106K | $118K | $75K | |
| Fabius area | $143K | $153K | $80K | |
| Burr Oak | $152K | $174K | $74K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $149K | $171K | $71K | |
| Three Rivers area | $117K | $134K | $67K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040700) | $111K | $114K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Joseph, MI · ZIP 49093 · Census Tract 26149040200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$107K
Downside (P10)
$89K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$164K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $48K | $55K | $52K | $54K | $60K | $61K | $57K | $91K | $94K | $108K | $107K | $111K | $116K | $118K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$58,804 | -$51,904 | -$54,704 | -$52,404 | -$46,904 | -$45,804 | -$49,504 | -$15,304 | -$12,904 | +$896 | +$4,275 | +$9,554 | +$11,067 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.1% | -48.6% | -51.3% | -49.1% | -44.0% | -42.9% | -46.4% | -14.3% | -12.1% | +0.8% | +4.0% | +9.0% | +10.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $94K | $91K | $89K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $132K | $143K | $164K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$94K to $132K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$89K to $164K
63.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Rivers area · Three Rivers · (Tract 402) | $106K | $118K | +11.2% | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $149K | $171K | +15.4% | |
| Burr Oak | $152K | $174K | +14.6% | |
| Three Rivers area | $117K | $134K | +14.0% | |
| Fabius area | $143K | $153K | +7.0% | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040700) | $111K | $114K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Rivers area · Three Rivers · (Tract 402) | $106K | $118K | +11.2% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202086) | $967K | $1.28M | +32.4% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200428) | $938K | $1.19M | +27.3% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201524) | $985K | $1.25M | +26.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201207) | $1.01M | $1.27M | +25.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201223) | $895K | $1.12M | +25.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Rivers area · Three Rivers · (Tract 402) | $106K | $118K | $75K | |
| Fabius area | $143K | $153K | $80K | |
| Burr Oak | $152K | $174K | $74K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $149K | $171K | $71K | |
| Three Rivers area | $117K | $134K | $67K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040700) | $111K | $114K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
