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St. Joseph, MI · Census Tract 26149203124 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$725K
Downside (P10)
$610K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$875K
+21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.28M
+76% by 2030
Base case: +21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +76%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $725K | $772K | $804K | $833K | $875K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$47,234 | +$79,518 | +$108,634 | +$150,768 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +6.5% | +11.0% | +15.0% | +20.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $642K | $618K | $594K | $610K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $955K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$642K to $955K
40.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$610K to $1.3M
76.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203124 | $725K | $875K | +20.8% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203108) | $729K | $875K | +19.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203205) | $693K | $827K | +19.2% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202866) | $719K | $831K | +15.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202769) | $697K | $765K | +9.8% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202743) | $702K | $763K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203124 | $725K | $875K | +20.8% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202086) | $967K | $1.37M | +41.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200729) | $999K | $1.40M | +39.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200428) | $938K | $1.30M | +38.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201524) | $985K | $1.36M | +38.4% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200363) | $934K | $1.29M | +38.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203124 | $725K | $875K | $665K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $154K | $171K | $71K | |
| Three Rivers area | $117K | $134K | $67K | |
| Nottawa | $230K | $239K | $61K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040700) | $111K | $114K | $54K | |
| Florence area | $190K | $196K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Joseph, MI · Census Tract 26149203124 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$725K
Downside (P10)
$610K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$875K
+21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.28M
+76% by 2030
Base case: +21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +76%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $725K | $772K | $804K | $833K | $875K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$47,234 | +$79,518 | +$108,634 | +$150,768 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +6.5% | +11.0% | +15.0% | +20.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $642K | $618K | $594K | $610K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $955K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$642K to $955K
40.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$610K to $1.3M
76.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203124 | $725K | $875K | +20.8% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203108) | $729K | $875K | +19.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203205) | $693K | $827K | +19.2% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202866) | $719K | $831K | +15.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202769) | $697K | $765K | +9.8% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202743) | $702K | $763K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203124 | $725K | $875K | +20.8% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202086) | $967K | $1.37M | +41.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200729) | $999K | $1.40M | +39.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200428) | $938K | $1.30M | +38.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201524) | $985K | $1.36M | +38.4% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200363) | $934K | $1.29M | +38.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 203124 | $725K | $875K | $665K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040600) | $154K | $171K | $71K | |
| Three Rivers area | $117K | $134K | $67K | |
| Nottawa | $230K | $239K | $61K | |
| Sturgis (Tract 040700) | $111K | $114K | $54K | |
| Florence area | $190K | $196K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
