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St. Clair, MI · Census Tract 26147800189 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$370K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$476K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$856K
+131% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +131%. The model forecasts this with 29% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $370K | $411K | $412K | $441K | $476K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$40,646 | +$42,047 | +$70,769 | +$105,694 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +11.0% | +11.4% | +19.1% | +28.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $291K | $254K | $237K | $242K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $569K | $621K | $759K | $856K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$291K to $569K
67.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$242K to $856K
129.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800189 | $370K | $476K | +28.5% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801104) | $371K | $587K | +58.4% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801269) | $369K | $561K | +51.9% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 800765) | $370K | $539K | +45.8% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 802857) | $370K | $518K | +40.2% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 640200) | $372K | $373K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800189 | $370K | $476K | +28.5% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801104) | $371K | $587K | +58.4% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801780) | $401K | $628K | +56.3% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 800846) | $374K | $579K | +54.8% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801023) | $361K | $555K | +53.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800189 | $370K | $476K | $614K | |
| Marine City | $160K | $163K | $63K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 621000) | $97K | $102K | $63K | |
| Greenwood area | $269K | $266K | $63K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 629000) | $224K | $222K | $58K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 622000) | $127K | $129K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Clair, MI · Census Tract 26147800189 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$370K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-35% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$476K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$856K
+131% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -35% to +131%. The model forecasts this with 29% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $370K | $411K | $412K | $441K | $476K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$40,646 | +$42,047 | +$70,769 | +$105,694 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +11.0% | +11.4% | +19.1% | +28.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $291K | $254K | $237K | $242K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $569K | $621K | $759K | $856K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$291K to $569K
67.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$242K to $856K
129.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800189 | $370K | $476K | +28.5% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801104) | $371K | $587K | +58.4% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801269) | $369K | $561K | +51.9% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 800765) | $370K | $539K | +45.8% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 802857) | $370K | $518K | +40.2% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 640200) | $372K | $373K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800189 | $370K | $476K | +28.5% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801104) | $371K | $587K | +58.4% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801780) | $401K | $628K | +56.3% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 800846) | $374K | $579K | +54.8% | |
| St. Clair (Tract 801023) | $361K | $555K | +53.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800189 | $370K | $476K | $614K | |
| Marine City | $160K | $163K | $63K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 621000) | $97K | $102K | $63K | |
| Greenwood area | $269K | $266K | $63K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 629000) | $224K | $222K | $58K | |
| Port Huron (Tract 622000) | $127K | $129K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
