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Saginaw, MI · ZIP 48415 · Census Tract 26145013100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$219K
Downside (P10)
$180K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$231K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$330K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $133K | $136K | $145K | $150K | $152K | $147K | $154K | $191K | $204K | $217K | $219K | $221K | $226K | $231K | $227K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$86,203 | -$83,303 | -$74,203 | -$69,403 | -$67,703 | -$72,203 | -$65,203 | -$28,103 | -$15,203 | -$2,503 | +$1,531 | +$7,151 | +$11,900 | +$7,541 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.3% | -38.0% | -33.9% | -31.7% | -30.9% | -32.9% | -29.7% | -12.8% | -6.9% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +5.4% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $188K | $180K | $202K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $274K | $285K | $330K | $249K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$198K to $274K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $249K
20.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birch Run | $219K | $231K | +5.4% | |
| Richland | $221K | $250K | +13.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 010303) | $216K | $244K | +12.9% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 010404) | $215K | $239K | +11.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 010501) | $220K | $243K | +10.3% | |
| Maple Grove area | $214K | $235K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birch Run | $219K | $231K | +5.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003085) | $664K | $923K | +39.0% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003205) | $623K | $792K | +27.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003580) | $640K | $810K | +26.5% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003687) | $619K | $783K | +26.5% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003700) | $678K | $856K | +26.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Saginaw, MI · ZIP 48415 · Census Tract 26145013100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$219K
Downside (P10)
$180K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$231K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$330K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $133K | $136K | $145K | $150K | $152K | $147K | $154K | $191K | $204K | $217K | $219K | $221K | $226K | $231K | $227K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$86,203 | -$83,303 | -$74,203 | -$69,403 | -$67,703 | -$72,203 | -$65,203 | -$28,103 | -$15,203 | -$2,503 | +$1,531 | +$7,151 | +$11,900 | +$7,541 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.3% | -38.0% | -33.9% | -31.7% | -30.9% | -32.9% | -29.7% | -12.8% | -6.9% | -1.1% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +5.4% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $188K | $180K | $202K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $274K | $285K | $330K | $249K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$198K to $274K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $249K
20.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birch Run | $219K | $231K | +5.4% | |
| Richland | $221K | $250K | +13.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 010303) | $216K | $244K | +12.9% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 010404) | $215K | $239K | +11.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 010501) | $220K | $243K | +10.3% | |
| Maple Grove area | $214K | $235K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birch Run | $219K | $231K | +5.4% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003085) | $664K | $923K | +39.0% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003205) | $623K | $792K | +27.2% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003580) | $640K | $810K | +26.5% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003687) | $619K | $783K | +26.5% | |
| Saginaw (Tract 003700) | $678K | $856K | +26.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
