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Oceana, MI · Census Tract 26127004167 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$692K
Downside (P10)
$362K
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$683K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+58% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $692K | $699K | $659K | $652K | $683K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$6,401 | -$33,050 | -$40,035 | -$9,202 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +0.9% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $444K | $347K | $347K | $362K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $982K | $961K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$444K to $982K
77.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$362K to $1.1M
107.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004167 | $692K | $683K | -1.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000624) | $673K | $692K | +2.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001704) | $678K | $690K | +1.9% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001649) | $661K | $671K | +1.6% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004060) | $660K | $665K | +0.7% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004387) | $674K | $659K | -2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004167 | $692K | $683K | -1.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004280) | $542K | $659K | +21.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001283) | $563K | $659K | +17.1% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000608) | $557K | $648K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000080) | $619K | $720K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000828) | $551K | $640K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004167 | $692K | $683K | $733K | |
| Golden | $279K | $302K | $137K | |
| Shelby area | $163K | $173K | $108K | |
| Elbridge area | $154K | $165K | $95K | |
| Ferry area | $179K | $196K | $89K | |
| Hart | $167K | $176K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Oceana, MI · Census Tract 26127004167 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$692K
Downside (P10)
$362K
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$683K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.10M
+58% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 41% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $692K | $699K | $659K | $652K | $683K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$6,401 | -$33,050 | -$40,035 | -$9,202 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +0.9% | -4.8% | -5.8% | -1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $444K | $347K | $347K | $362K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $982K | $961K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$444K to $982K
77.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$362K to $1.1M
107.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004167 | $692K | $683K | -1.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000624) | $673K | $692K | +2.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001704) | $678K | $690K | +1.9% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001649) | $661K | $671K | +1.6% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004060) | $660K | $665K | +0.7% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004387) | $674K | $659K | -2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004167 | $692K | $683K | -1.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 004280) | $542K | $659K | +21.8% | |
| Oceana (Tract 001283) | $563K | $659K | +17.1% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000608) | $557K | $648K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000080) | $619K | $720K | +16.3% | |
| Oceana (Tract 000828) | $551K | $640K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004167 | $692K | $683K | $733K | |
| Golden | $279K | $302K | $137K | |
| Shelby area | $163K | $173K | $108K | |
| Elbridge area | $154K | $165K | $95K | |
| Ferry area | $179K | $196K | $89K | |
| Hart | $167K | $176K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
