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Mecosta, MI · ZIP 49307 · Census Tract 26107960300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$219K
Downside (P10)
$182K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$228K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$300K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $118K | $124K | $131K | $124K | $125K | $146K | $158K | $185K | $208K | $219K | $219K | $225K | $228K |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99K | -$101K | -$95K | -$88K | -$95K | -$93K | -$73K | -$61K | -$33K | -$11K | +$479 | +$7K | +$9K | |
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.4% | -46.3% | -43.3% | -40.1% | -43.4% | -42.7% | -33.3% | -27.7% | -15.3% | -4.9% | +0.2% | +3.0% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $189K | $192K | $182K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $262K | $273K | $300K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$189K to $262K
33.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$182K to $300K
51.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant area | $212K | $228K | +7.6% | |
| Morton area (Tract 961001) | $266K | $303K | +13.7% | |
| Mecosta area | $201K | $221K | +10.0% | |
| Hinton area | $177K | $190K | +7.7% | |
| Big Rapids | $184K | $195K | +6.0% | |
| Morton area (Tract 960900) | $196K | $206K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant area | $212K | $228K | +7.6% | |
| Fork area | $164K | $187K | +14.7% | |
| Morton area | $266K | $303K | +13.7% | |
| Big Rapids area | $127K | $141K | +11.5% | |
| Green | $170K | $188K | +10.7% | |
| Mecosta area | $201K | $221K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant area | $212K | $228K | $118K | |
| Fork area | $164K | $187K | $98K | |
| Big Rapids | $184K | $195K | $97K | |
| Aetna area | $157K | $166K | $94K | |
| Big Rapids area | $127K | $141K | $92K | |
| Green | $170K | $188K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.