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Mecosta, MI · Census Tract 26107006169 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.53M
Downside (P10)
$1.13M
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.38M
-10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.71M
+12% by 2030
Base case: -10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +12%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.4M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$129,447 | -$43,221 | -$175,654 | -$146,738 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +8.5% | -2.8% | -11.5% | -9.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$1.4M to $1.9M
25.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.1M to $1.7M
42.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006169 | $1.53M | $1.38M | -9.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006282) | $1.64M | $1.51M | -8.0% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006583) | $1.57M | $1.44M | -8.0% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006127) | $1.46M | $1.33M | -8.9% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006088) | $1.54M | $1.38M | -10.4% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 000149) | $1.63M | $1.24M | -23.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006169 | $1.53M | $1.38M | -9.6% | |
| Fork area | $165K | $187K | +13.5% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 003120) | $1.30M | $1.43M | +10.6% | |
| Mecosta area | $202K | $221K | +8.9% | |
| Martiny area | $161K | $173K | +7.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004886) | $1.24M | $1.33M | +7.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006169 | $1.53M | $1.38M | $580K | |
| Aetna area | $155K | $166K | $94K | |
| Big Rapids area | $132K | $141K | $92K | |
| Green | $173K | $175K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mecosta, MI · Census Tract 26107006169 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.53M
Downside (P10)
$1.13M
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.38M
-10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.71M
+12% by 2030
Base case: -10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +12%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.7M | $1.5M | $1.4M | $1.4M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$129,447 | -$43,221 | -$175,654 | -$146,738 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +8.5% | -2.8% | -11.5% | -9.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$1.4M to $1.9M
25.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.1M to $1.7M
42.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006169 | $1.53M | $1.38M | -9.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006282) | $1.64M | $1.51M | -8.0% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006583) | $1.57M | $1.44M | -8.0% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006127) | $1.46M | $1.33M | -8.9% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 006088) | $1.54M | $1.38M | -10.4% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 000149) | $1.63M | $1.24M | -23.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006169 | $1.53M | $1.38M | -9.6% | |
| Fork area | $165K | $187K | +13.5% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 003120) | $1.30M | $1.43M | +10.6% | |
| Mecosta area | $202K | $221K | +8.9% | |
| Martiny area | $161K | $173K | +7.6% | |
| Mecosta (Tract 004886) | $1.24M | $1.33M | +7.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006169 | $1.53M | $1.38M | $580K | |
| Aetna area | $155K | $166K | $94K | |
| Big Rapids area | $132K | $141K | $92K | |
| Green | $173K | $175K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
