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Mason, MI · ZIP 49405 · Census Tract 26105950700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$145K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$190K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$278K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $95K | $105K | $108K | $113K | $112K | $115K | $130K | $146K | $163K | $170K | $178K | $185K | $190K | $170K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$81,010 | -$74,610 | -$64,610 | -$61,910 | -$57,410 | -$57,710 | -$54,710 | -$39,910 | -$24,110 | -$6,710 | +$7,941 | +$15,281 | +$19,653 | +$557 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.7% | -43.9% | -38.0% | -36.4% | -33.8% | -34.0% | -32.2% | -23.5% | -14.2% | -3.9% | +4.7% | +9.0% | +11.6% | +0.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $146K | $145K | $151K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $231K | $251K | $278K | $192K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$147K to $231K
47.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$151K to $192K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch area | $167K | $190K | +13.6% | |
| Free Soil area | $200K | $217K | +8.3% | |
| Ludington (Tract 950500) | $199K | $214K | +7.4% | |
| Amber area | $180K | $193K | +7.3% | |
| Ludington (Tract 950400) | $199K | $212K | +6.7% | |
| Victory area | $251K | $248K | -1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch area | $167K | $190K | +13.6% | |
| Mason (Tract 000345) | $364K | $474K | +30.4% | |
| Mason (Tract 000248) | $374K | $473K | +26.5% | |
| Mason (Tract 000125) | $368K | $440K | +19.5% | |
| Hamlin | $330K | $368K | +11.6% | |
| Riverton area | $252K | $276K | +9.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch area | $167K | $190K | $133K | |
| Victory area | $251K | $248K | $125K | |
| Amber area | $180K | $193K | $124K | |
| Ludington (Tract 950400) | $199K | $212K | $103K | |
| Free Soil area | $200K | $217K | $102K | |
| Ludington (Tract 950500) | $199K | $214K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mason, MI · ZIP 49405 · Census Tract 26105950700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$145K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$190K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$278K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $95K | $105K | $108K | $113K | $112K | $115K | $130K | $146K | $163K | $170K | $178K | $185K | $190K | $170K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$81,010 | -$74,610 | -$64,610 | -$61,910 | -$57,410 | -$57,710 | -$54,710 | -$39,910 | -$24,110 | -$6,710 | +$7,941 | +$15,281 | +$19,653 | +$557 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.7% | -43.9% | -38.0% | -36.4% | -33.8% | -34.0% | -32.2% | -23.5% | -14.2% | -3.9% | +4.7% | +9.0% | +11.6% | +0.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $146K | $145K | $151K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $231K | $251K | $278K | $192K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$147K to $231K
47.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$151K to $192K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch area | $167K | $190K | +13.6% | |
| Free Soil area | $200K | $217K | +8.3% | |
| Ludington (Tract 950500) | $199K | $214K | +7.4% | |
| Amber area | $180K | $193K | +7.3% | |
| Ludington (Tract 950400) | $199K | $212K | +6.7% | |
| Victory area | $251K | $248K | -1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch area | $167K | $190K | +13.6% | |
| Mason (Tract 000345) | $364K | $474K | +30.4% | |
| Mason (Tract 000248) | $374K | $473K | +26.5% | |
| Mason (Tract 000125) | $368K | $440K | +19.5% | |
| Hamlin | $330K | $368K | +11.6% | |
| Riverton area | $252K | $276K | +9.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branch area | $167K | $190K | $133K | |
| Victory area | $251K | $248K | $125K | |
| Amber area | $180K | $193K | $124K | |
| Ludington (Tract 950400) | $199K | $212K | $103K | |
| Free Soil area | $200K | $217K | $102K | |
| Ludington (Tract 950500) | $199K | $214K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
