Manistee, MI · ZIP 49614 · Census Tract 26101000200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$223K
Downside (P10)
$192K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$321K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +44%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Manistee markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $143K | $142K | $146K | $151K | $152K | $137K | $148K | $189K | $195K | $212K | $223K | $224K | $228K | $234K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +0.6% | -9.8% | +8.1% | +27.4% | +3.2% | +8.4% | +5.6% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $194K | $196K | $192K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $272K | $294K | $321K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$194K to $272K
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$192K to $321K
55.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasanton area | $216K | $234K | +8.1% | |
| Manistee | $199K | $224K | +12.8% | |
| Dickson area | $194K | $200K | +3.4% | |
| Manistee | $188K | $208K | +10.7% | |
| Stronach area | $181K | $185K | +2.1% | |
| Bear Lake area | $278K | $314K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasanton area | $216K | $234K | +8.1% | |
| Bear Lake area | $278K | $314K | +13.0% | |
| Manistee | $199K | $224K | +12.8% | |
| Manistee | $188K | $208K | +10.7% | |
| Norman | $156K | $169K | +8.1% | |
| Manistee area | $159K | $164K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasanton area | $216K | $234K | $129K | |
| Stronach area | $181K | $185K | $82K | |
| Dickson area | $194K | $200K | $92K | |
| Springdale area | $165K | $171K | $95K | |
| Manistee area | $159K | $164K | $107K | |
| Norman | $156K | $169K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.