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Keweenaw, MI · Census Tract 26083280009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$608K
Downside (P10)
$269K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$614K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.25M
+106% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +106%. The model forecasts this with 15% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $608K | $663K | $639K | $600K | $614K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$54,869 | +$30,745 | -$7,494 | +$6,452 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +9.0% | +5.1% | -1.2% | +1.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $368K | $322K | $259K | $269K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$368K to $1.1M
106.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$269K to $1.3M
160.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $608K | $614K | +1.1% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 400009) | $221K | $347K | +56.7% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 840009) | $188K | $285K | +51.6% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 600003) | $199K | $300K | +50.9% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 480100) | $256K | $369K | +43.8% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 360000) | $976K | $799K | -18.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $608K | $614K | +1.1% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 560004) | $120K | $191K | +58.7% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 400009) | $221K | $347K | +56.7% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 800007) | $162K | $253K | +56.6% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 920000) | $179K | $279K | +56.2% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 170601) | $100K | $153K | +52.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $608K | $614K | $986K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 560004) | $120K | $191K | $197K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 760008) | $106K | $155K | $149K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 170009) | $98K | $146K | $146K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 170601) | $100K | $153K | $139K | |
| Grant area | $181K | $194K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Keweenaw, MI · Census Tract 26083280009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$608K
Downside (P10)
$269K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$614K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.25M
+106% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +106%. The model forecasts this with 15% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $608K | $663K | $639K | $600K | $614K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$54,869 | +$30,745 | -$7,494 | +$6,452 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +9.0% | +5.1% | -1.2% | +1.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $368K | $322K | $259K | $269K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$368K to $1.1M
106.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$269K to $1.3M
160.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $608K | $614K | +1.1% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 400009) | $221K | $347K | +56.7% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 840009) | $188K | $285K | +51.6% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 600003) | $199K | $300K | +50.9% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 480100) | $256K | $369K | +43.8% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 360000) | $976K | $799K | -18.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $608K | $614K | +1.1% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 560004) | $120K | $191K | +58.7% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 400009) | $221K | $347K | +56.7% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 800007) | $162K | $253K | +56.6% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 920000) | $179K | $279K | +56.2% | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 170601) | $100K | $153K | +52.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $608K | $614K | $986K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 560004) | $120K | $191K | $197K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 760008) | $106K | $155K | $149K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 170009) | $98K | $146K | $146K | |
| Keweenaw (Tract 170601) | $100K | $153K | $139K | |
| Grant area | $181K | $194K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
