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Grand Traverse, MI · Census Tract 26055010168 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$796K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$885K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.59M
+100% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to +100%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $796K | $877K | $847K | $825K | $885K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$81,637 | +$50,802 | +$28,950 | +$89,289 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.3% | +6.4% | +3.6% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $540K | $471K | $429K | $431K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.6M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$540K to $1.4M
97.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$431K to $1.6M
131.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010168 | $796K | $885K | +11.2% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $1.13M | +56.0% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011769) | $792K | $936K | +18.2% | |
| Peninsula | $783K | $828K | +5.7% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010320) | $770K | $775K | +0.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010964) | $687K | $664K | -3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010168 | $796K | $885K | +11.2% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $979K | +62.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $1.13M | +56.0% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $700K | +26.7% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $788K | +23.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $767K | +21.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010168 | $796K | $885K | $1.16M | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $187K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $275K | $301K | $139K | |
| Traverse City area (Tract 551000) | $442K | $460K | $105K | |
| Traverse City area (Tract 551400) | $399K | $414K | $99K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $93K | $24K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Grand Traverse, MI · Census Tract 26055010168 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$796K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$885K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.59M
+100% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to +100%. The model forecasts this with 28% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $796K | $877K | $847K | $825K | $885K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$81,637 | +$50,802 | +$28,950 | +$89,289 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +10.3% | +6.4% | +3.6% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $540K | $471K | $429K | $431K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.6M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$540K to $1.4M
97.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$431K to $1.6M
131.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010168 | $796K | $885K | +11.2% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $1.13M | +56.0% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011769) | $792K | $936K | +18.2% | |
| Peninsula | $783K | $828K | +5.7% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010320) | $770K | $775K | +0.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010964) | $687K | $664K | -3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010168 | $796K | $885K | +11.2% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012263) | $602K | $979K | +62.6% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 012001) | $725K | $1.13M | +56.0% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011002) | $552K | $700K | +26.7% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 011565) | $638K | $788K | +23.5% | |
| Grand Traverse (Tract 010427) | $633K | $767K | +21.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010168 | $796K | $885K | $1.16M | |
| Garfield (Tract 551303) | $187K | $202K | $141K | |
| Paradise | $275K | $301K | $139K | |
| Traverse City area (Tract 551000) | $442K | $460K | $105K | |
| Traverse City area (Tract 551400) | $399K | $414K | $99K | |
| Garfield (Tract 551302) | $91K | $93K | $24K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
