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Genesee, MI · ZIP 48438 · Census Tract 26049013401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$368K
Downside (P10)
$345K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$395K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$500K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $195K | $200K | $219K | $221K | $237K | $249K | $302K | $330K | $367K | $368K | $377K | $383K | $395K | $388K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$172,935 | -$172,835 | -$168,335 | -$149,135 | -$146,435 | -$131,335 | -$118,635 | -$65,535 | -$38,035 | -$835 | +$9,439 | +$15,478 | +$27,074 | +$19,704 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.0% | -47.0% | -45.8% | -40.5% | -39.8% | -35.7% | -32.3% | -17.8% | -10.3% | -0.2% | +2.6% | +4.2% | +7.4% | +5.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $333K | $335K | $345K | $344K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $444K | $472K | $500K | $432K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$333K to $444K
29.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$344K to $432K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | $368K | $395K | +7.2% | |
| Fenton (Tract 013303) | $403K | $460K | +14.3% | |
| Grand Blanc | $398K | $444K | +11.4% | |
| Fenton (Tract 013112) | $364K | $405K | +11.4% | |
| Fenton (Tract 013111) | $346K | $383K | +10.7% | |
| Lake Fenton | $377K | $396K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | $368K | $395K | +7.2% | |
| Flushing | $209K | $253K | +21.4% | |
| Burton | $248K | $296K | +19.3% | |
| Mount Morris | $188K | $223K | +18.4% | |
| Genesee | $110K | $130K | +17.7% | |
| Flint | $65K | $77K | +17.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Genesee, MI · ZIP 48438 · Census Tract 26049013401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$368K
Downside (P10)
$345K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$395K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$500K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $195K | $200K | $219K | $221K | $237K | $249K | $302K | $330K | $367K | $368K | $377K | $383K | $395K | $388K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$172,935 | -$172,835 | -$168,335 | -$149,135 | -$146,435 | -$131,335 | -$118,635 | -$65,535 | -$38,035 | -$835 | +$9,439 | +$15,478 | +$27,074 | +$19,704 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.0% | -47.0% | -45.8% | -40.5% | -39.8% | -35.7% | -32.3% | -17.8% | -10.3% | -0.2% | +2.6% | +4.2% | +7.4% | +5.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $333K | $335K | $345K | $344K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $444K | $472K | $500K | $432K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$333K to $444K
29.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$344K to $432K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | $368K | $395K | +7.2% | |
| Fenton (Tract 013303) | $403K | $460K | +14.3% | |
| Grand Blanc | $398K | $444K | +11.4% | |
| Fenton (Tract 013112) | $364K | $405K | +11.4% | |
| Fenton (Tract 013111) | $346K | $383K | +10.7% | |
| Lake Fenton | $377K | $396K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | $368K | $395K | +7.2% | |
| Flushing | $209K | $253K | +21.4% | |
| Burton | $248K | $296K | +19.3% | |
| Mount Morris | $188K | $223K | +18.4% | |
| Genesee | $110K | $130K | +17.7% | |
| Flint | $65K | $77K | +17.6% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
