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Detroit, MI · ZIP 48238 · Census Tract 26163530500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$184K
Downside (P10)
$155K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$194K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$241K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $62K | $63K | $44K | $47K | $103K | $107K | $131K | $143K | $180K | $184K | $191K | $194K | $194K | $186K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,770 | -$121,470 | -$140,570 | -$137,570 | -$81,470 | -$77,270 | -$53,770 | -$41,570 | -$4,670 | +$6,412 | +$9,640 | +$9,300 | +$1,386 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -66.6% | -65.9% | -76.2% | -74.6% | -44.2% | -41.9% | -29.2% | -22.5% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +5.2% | +5.0% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $166K | $166K | $155K | $165K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $219K | $231K | $241K | $211K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$166K to $219K
28.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$165K to $211K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | $180K | $194K | +7.7% | |
| Detroit (Tract 521500) | $170K | $195K | +14.6% | |
| Detroit (Tract 516900) | $184K | $210K | +13.9% | |
| Detroit (Tract 516700) | $197K | $218K | +11.0% | |
| Detroit (Tract 513700) | $195K | $209K | +7.2% | |
| Detroit (Tract 501800) | $191K | $194K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | $180K | $194K | +7.7% | |
| Detroit (Tract 531900) | $84K | $102K | +20.7% | |
| Detroit (Tract 513800) | $96K | $115K | +20.1% | |
| Detroit (Tract 511900) | $308K | $362K | +17.6% | |
| Detroit (Tract 516500) | $285K | $334K | +17.1% | |
| Detroit (Tract 513300) | $168K | $195K | +16.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Detroit, MI · ZIP 48238 · Census Tract 26163530500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$184K
Downside (P10)
$155K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$194K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$241K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $62K | $63K | $44K | $47K | $103K | $107K | $131K | $143K | $180K | $184K | $191K | $194K | $194K | $186K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$122,770 | -$121,470 | -$140,570 | -$137,570 | -$81,470 | -$77,270 | -$53,770 | -$41,570 | -$4,670 | +$6,412 | +$9,640 | +$9,300 | +$1,386 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -66.6% | -65.9% | -76.2% | -74.6% | -44.2% | -41.9% | -29.2% | -22.5% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +5.2% | +5.0% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $166K | $166K | $155K | $165K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $219K | $231K | $241K | $211K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$166K to $219K
28.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$165K to $211K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | $180K | $194K | +7.7% | |
| Detroit (Tract 521500) | $170K | $195K | +14.6% | |
| Detroit (Tract 516900) | $184K | $210K | +13.9% | |
| Detroit (Tract 516700) | $197K | $218K | +11.0% | |
| Detroit (Tract 513700) | $195K | $209K | +7.2% | |
| Detroit (Tract 501800) | $191K | $194K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit | $180K | $194K | +7.7% | |
| Detroit (Tract 531900) | $84K | $102K | +20.7% | |
| Detroit (Tract 513800) | $96K | $115K | +20.1% | |
| Detroit (Tract 511900) | $308K | $362K | +17.6% | |
| Detroit (Tract 516500) | $285K | $334K | +17.1% | |
| Detroit (Tract 513300) | $168K | $195K | +16.2% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
