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Berrien, MI · ZIP 49117 · Census Tract 26021011301 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$439K
Downside (P10)
$368K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$477K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$633K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $326K | $335K | $372K | $385K | $419K | $439K | $448K | $470K | $477K |
| YoY Change | +2.6% | +11.1% | +3.6% | +8.9% | +4.8% | +1.9% | +5.1% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $391K | $368K | $368K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $557K | $595K | $633K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$391K to $557K
37.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$368K to $633K
55.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Buffalo | $432K | $477K | +10.4% | |
| Chikaming (Tract 011201) | $411K | $459K | +11.7% | |
| Royalton | $363K | $403K | +11.3% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001500) | $362K | $412K | +13.7% | |
| Chikaming (Tract 011202) | $340K | $365K | +7.4% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001700) | $316K | $331K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Buffalo | $432K | $477K | +10.4% | |
| Weesaw | $223K | $260K | +16.6% | |
| Benton | $174K | $202K | +16.5% | |
| Niles (Tract 021200) | $167K | $193K | +15.9% | |
| Pipestone | $212K | $244K | +15.4% | |
| Niles (Tract 020900) | $117K | $134K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Buffalo | $432K | $477K | $264K | |
| Benton Heights | $92K | $94K | $46K | |
| Benton Harbor (Tract 000500) | $90K | $98K | $49K | |
| Benton Harbor (Tract 000600) | $79K | $87K | $49K | |
| Benton | $103K | $110K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.