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Berrien, MI · ZIP 49128 · Census Tract 26021011201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$423K
Downside (P10)
$377K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$459K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$606K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $274K | $287K | $332K | $374K | $408K | $423K | $437K | $444K | $459K |
| YoY Change | +4.8% | +15.6% | +12.5% | +9.2% | +3.6% | +3.4% | +1.6% | +3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $371K | $379K | $377K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $518K | $560K | $606K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$371K to $518K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$377K to $606K
49.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chikaming · Three Oaks · (Tract 112.1) | $411K | $459K | +11.7% | |
| New Buffalo | $432K | $477K | +10.4% | |
| Royalton | $363K | $403K | +11.3% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001500) | $362K | $412K | +13.7% | |
| Chikaming | $340K | $365K | +7.4% | |
| Lincoln (Tract 001700) | $316K | $331K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chikaming · Three Oaks · (Tract 112.1) | $411K | $459K | +11.7% | |
| Weesaw | $223K | $260K | +16.6% | |
| Benton | $174K | $202K | +16.5% | |
| Niles (Tract 021200) | $167K | $193K | +15.9% | |
| Pipestone | $212K | $244K | +15.4% | |
| Niles (Tract 020900) | $117K | $134K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chikaming · Three Oaks · (Tract 112.1) | $411K | $459K | $229K | |
| Benton Heights | $92K | $94K | $46K | |
| Benton Harbor (Tract 000500) | $90K | $98K | $49K | |
| Benton Harbor (Tract 000600) | $79K | $87K | $49K | |
| Benton | $103K | $110K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.