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Bay, MI · ZIP 48708 · Census Tract 26017280900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$93K
Downside (P10)
$78K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$105K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$129K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $67K | $64K | $65K | $64K | $61K | $60K | $65K | $69K | $86K | $90K | $93K | $94K | $99K | $105K |
| YoY Change | -4.9% | +1.4% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -1.5% | +7.8% | +6.6% | +24.4% | +4.5% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +4.9% | +6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $79K | $79K | $78K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $114K | $121K | $129K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$79K to $114K
36.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$78K to $129K
48.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay City · 48708 · (Tract 2809) | $92K | $105K | +14.3% | |
| Bay City (Tract 280600) | $99K | $111K | +12.3% | |
| Bay City (Tract 280700) | $100K | $111K | +11.4% | |
| Bay City (Tract 280400) | $107K | $117K | +9.1% | |
| Bay City (Tract 281300) | $93K | $99K | +7.4% | |
| Bay City (Tract 286600) | $92K | $97K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay City · 48708 · (Tract 2809) | $92K | $105K | +14.3% | |
| Bay City (Tract 280300) | $74K | $90K | +22.0% | |
| Beaver | $175K | $201K | +14.9% | |
| Bay City (Tract 280500) | $135K | $156K | +14.9% | |
| Pinconning | $118K | $136K | +14.7% | |
| Bay City (Tract 280800) | $110K | $123K | +12.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bay City · 48708 · (Tract 2809) | $92K | $105K | $51K | |
| Bay City (Tract 280300) | $74K | $90K | $58K | |
| Bay City (Tract 286600) | $92K | $97K | $58K | |
| Bay City (Tract 280800) | $110K | $123K | $57K | |
| Bay City (Tract 280700) | $100K | $111K | $52K | |
| Bay City (Tract 281300) | $93K | $99K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.