What is the home price forecast for Saugatuck?

Homecastr forecasts Saugatuck median home values at $392,890 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.5%.

How confident is the Saugatuck forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $333,186 (downside) to $589,586 (upside), with a spread of 62% of median.

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Saugatuck Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Saugatuck Home Price Forecast

Allegan, MI · ZIP 49408 · Census Tract 26005030802 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$393K

Downside (P10)

$333K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$414K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$590K

+50% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$301K	$300K	$331K	$355K	$372K	$393K	$411K	$422K	$414K
YoY Change		-0.5%	+10.4%	+7.2%	+4.9%	+5.7%	+4.6%	+2.7%	-1.9%
Downside (P10)							$344K	$339K	$333K
Upside (P90)							$485K	$533K	$590K

Location

Saugatuck on map

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Forecast Confidence

66%

Moderate Confidence

The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$344K to $485K

34.2% of median

5-Year Spread

$333K to $590K

61.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.5% · Spread: 62%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Saugatuck	$381K	$414K	+8.8%
Leighton	$354K	$358K	+1.2%
Wayland	$352K	$366K	+4.1%
Overisel	$350K	$350K	-0.0%
Fillmore	$348K	$373K	+7.3%
Laketown	$451K	$460K	+2.0%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Saugatuck	$381K	$414K	+8.8%
Lee	$91K	$103K	+13.7%
Laketown	$301K	$341K	+13.2%
Allegan area	$254K	$285K	+12.2%
Saugatuck area	$593K	$666K	+12.1%
Otsego	$229K	$253K	+10.5%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Saugatuck	$381K	$414K	$256K
Lee	$91K	$103K	$54K
Allegan	$185K	$202K	$90K
Clyde	$206K	$225K	$107K
Cheshire	$177K	$191K	$107K
Holland	$196K	$202K	$119K

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).