What is the home price forecast for Parcel 23011014002 in Winthrop?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $363,719 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 23011014002 in Winthrop?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $363,719 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.9%.

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Parcel 23011014002 (Winthrop) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 23011014002, Winthrop Home Price Forecast

Kennebec, ME · ZIP 04364 · Census Tract 23011014002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$364K

Downside (P10)

$328K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$382K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$502K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$271K	$279K	$282K	$314K	$353K	$364K	$367K	$381K	$382K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$92,319	-$84,419	-$81,719	-$49,619	-$10,419		+$3,396	+$17,771	+$17,936
Growth % vs 2026	-25.4%	-23.2%	-22.5%	-13.6%	-2.9%		+0.9%	+4.9%	+4.9%
Downside (P10)							$318K	$327K	$328K
Upside (P90)							$436K	$482K	$502K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$318K to $436K

32.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$328K to $502K

45.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.9% · Spread: 46%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 23011014002, Winthrop on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).